Waiting times for outpatient visits during military conflict: An observational study

TL;DR

This study examines how a military conflict affected waiting times for outpatient visits at a hospital, finding some increases despite fewer overall visits.

Contribution

The study provides empirical evidence on the impact of military conflict on outpatient waiting times and visit volumes.

Findings

An 11% decrease in daily outpatient visits was observed during the conflict.

Waiting times increased for surgery and imaging but decreased for pediatrics.

Median waiting times remained unchanged in cardiology, medicine, and psychiatry.

Abstract

Environmental events, including military conflicts, may dramatically affect a hospital’s ability to provide routine treatments while maintaining reasonable waiting times.

To examine the impact of a military conflict (“Protective Edge”, PE) on the volume of activity and waiting times for outpatient clinics in a tertiary medical center.

Outpatient visits during PE (July-August 2014) were compared to outpatient visits during July-August 2013 (pre-conflict period) and 2015 (post-conflict period) with regards to the daily number of visits and waiting times. Clinics with at least 5,000 annual visits were included. Quantile regression adjusted for confounders was used for the multivariable models, in a stratified analysis by specialty.

There were 87,495 outpatient visits during PE and 197,029 visits during the pre- and post-conflict periods. An 11% decrease in the daily number of visits was noted (ranging from 6% decrease in oncology and cardiology to 19–20% decrease in psychiatry and pediatrics). During PE, statistically significant longer waiting times were found for surgery (+1.0 day) and imaging (+1.1 days), while a 2.4 days decrease was noted in pediatrics, controlled for age, sex, ethnicity and the daily number of visits. Median waiting times were unchanged for cardiology, medicine, psychiatry and cardiology.

In the midst of a continuing military conflict, there was a notable increase in outpatient visit waiting times in some disciplines, but not all, despite a reduction in the overall volume of visits. Investigating whether similar impacts on patient care occur during other military conflicts or pandemics necessitates further research.

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