# Illness–death model to predict anxiety prevalence in general population during COVID-19 pandemic and beyond: a promising development in mental health epidemiology

## TL;DR

This paper introduces a model to predict anxiety disorder prevalence in Germany during and after the pandemic, offering new insights for mental health studies.

## Contribution

The paper proposes an illness–death model with 82 scenarios for predicting anxiety trends in mental health epidemiology.

## Key findings

- The model projects anxiety disorder prevalence in Germany from 2019 to 2030.
- The framework shows potential for broader use in mental health epidemiology.

## Abstract

Ito et al present an illness–death model projecting 82 scenarios for the prevalence of anxiety disorders in Germany from 2019 to 2030 following the COVID-19 pandemic. We suggest the modelling framework used by Ito et al has promising applications for mental health epidemiology.