Influence of internal variability on future changes in surface wind speed in China with two large ensemble simulations
Ling Yu, Hong Cao, Liang Yue
TL;DR
This study examines how wind speeds in China might change in the future, focusing on the impact of natural climate variability and providing insights for wind energy planning.
Contribution
The novelty lies in using two large ensemble simulations to assess the influence of internal climate variability on future wind speed changes in China.
Findings
External forcing leads to increased winter wind speeds in eastern China but decreased speeds in southeastern coastal areas and southwestern Tibet.
Summer wind speeds show a decrease in the north and an increase in the south, with greater changes in winter than in summer.
The magnitude of wind speed changes intensifies as the projected period extends.
Abstract
Wind energy, as one of the renewable energy sources, plays a crucial role in the global energy system’s transition to clean energy. China possesses vast and widely distributed wind energy resources, and in recent years, it has rapidly developed and begun large-scale commercial utilization. Therefore, studying changes in surface wind speeds (SWSs) is highly important for wind energy development in China. This study utilizes two initial condition large ensemble simulations to project future changes in SWSs over China. The two sets of initial large ensemble models used are CanESM2-LE and CESM1-LE. By comparing the results from these two large ensemble models, the influence of internal variability of the climate system on SWSs in China are studied. Both models can effectively reproduce the climatological spatial distribution of SWSs in reanalysis. Results from both models indicate that…
Genes, proteins, chemicals, diseases, species, mutations and cell lines named across the full text — each resolved to its canonical identifier and authoritative record.
Click any figure to enlarge with its caption.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 5
Figure 6
Figure 7
Figure 8
Figure 9
Figure 10
Figure 11
Figure 12
Figure 13
Figure 14
Figure 15
Figure 16Peer Reviews
No public reviews on file for this paper yet. If you reviewed it on a platform where reviews are public (OpenReview, ICLR, NeurIPS, ICML), you can paste yours below so the community can read it here.
Videos
No videos yet. Explain this paper in a talk, walkthrough, or lecture? Add one.
Taxonomy
TopicsClimate variability and models · Wind Energy Research and Development · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations