A model for predicting bacteremia species based on host immune response

TL;DR

This study presents a machine-learning model that uses immune response data to quickly identify bacterial species causing blood infections, potentially enabling faster treatment decisions.

Contribution

A novel machine-learning model combining immune cell activation and blood count data to predict bacteremia species.

Findings

18 of 28 bacteremia patients showed ≥3-fold increase in Rac1•GTP levels compared to controls.

Ten bacteremia patients displayed normal or reduced Rac1 GTPase activity, suggesting immunosuppression.

PLS-DA model effectively differentiated pathogen groups and showed predictive utility in external validation.

Abstract

Clinicians encounter significant challenges in quickly and accurately identifying the bacterial species responsible for patient bacteremia and in selecting appropriate antibiotics for timely treatment. This study introduces a novel approach that combines immune response data from routine blood counts with assessments of immune cell activation, specifically through quantitative measurements of Rho family GTPase activity. The combined data were used to develop a machine-learning model capable of distinguishing specific classes of bacteria and their associations.

We aimed to determine whether different classes of bacteria elicit distinct patterns of host immune responses, as indicated by quantitative differences in leukocyte populations from routine complete blood counts with differential. Concurrently, we conducted quantitative measurements of activated Rac1 (Rac1•GTP) levels using a novel ‘G-Trap assay’ we developed. With the G-Trap, we measured Rac1•GTP in peripheral blood monocytes (PBMC) and polymorphonuclear (PMN) cells from blood samples collected from 28 culture-positive patients and over 80 non-infected patients used as controls.

Our findings indicated that 18 of the 28 patients with bacteremia showed an increase of ≥ 3-fold in Rac1•GTP levels compared to the controls. The remaining ten patients with bacteremia exhibited either neutrophilia or pancytopenia and displayed normal to below-normal Rac1 GTPase activity, which is consistent with bacteria-induced immunosuppression. To analyze the data, we employed partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA), a supervised method that optimizes group separation and aids in building a novel machine-learning model for pathogen identification.

The results demonstrated that PLS-DA effectively differentiates between specific pathogen groups, and external validation confirmed the predictive model's utility. Given that bacterial culture confirmation may take several days, our study underscores the potential of combining routine assays with a machine-learning model as a valuable clinical decision-support tool. This approach could enable prompt and accurate treatment on the same day that patients present to the clinic.

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