# Splenic Stiffness Measurement Combined With Liver Stiffness Measurement Compared With Baveno VII Criteria in Predicting the Presence of Oesophageal and Gastric Varices in Patients With Compensated Advanced Liver Cell Disease (cALCD)

## TL;DR

This study compares the Baveno VII criteria and combinations of liver and splenic stiffness measurements to predict varices in patients with liver disease.

## Contribution

The study introduces splenic stiffness measurement as a more effective predictor of varices compared to Baveno VII criteria.

## Key findings

- Baveno VII criteria had low sensitivity but high specificity for predicting varices.
- Splenic stiffness >30kPa alone or combined with liver stiffness >15kPa showed better predictive accuracy.
- The combination of splenic and liver stiffness measurements improved sensitivity and specificity over existing criteria.

## Abstract

Introduction: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is being increasingly used as a screening tool to predict varices. Our aim was to test the utility of Baveno VII criteria and other combinations of LSM, platelet count (PC), and splenic stiffness measurement (SSM) to predict the presence of varices in a cohort of Sri Lankan patients with compensated advanced liver cell disease (cALCD).

Methods: Consecutive patients with newly diagnosed Child-Pugh class A cALCD (non-viral, BMI<30) were recruited prospectively. They underwent gastroscopy. LSM and SSM were taken using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) (Echosens FibroScan 502 Touch; Echosens SA, Paris, France) by a single operator who was unaware of endoscopy findings. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy of different Baveno VII criteria to predict the varices and different combinations of LSM, SSM, and PC were also explored.

Results: One hundred and seventy-four individuals were recruited. The mean age was 61.4 ((95% CI: 59.7-62.8) years. A total of 110 individuals were males, and 106 had varices. Our results indicated that the three Baveno VII criteria had sensitivities of 61%, 63%, and 42%, and specificities of 79%, 77%, and 87% to predict varices. SSM>30kPa alone and in combination with LSM>15kPa had sensitivities of 81 and 75%, specificities of 72 and 83%, PPVs of 82 and 87%, NPVs of 71% and 67%, and accuracies of 78 and 78%, respectively, to predict varices.

Conclusion: Baveno VII criteria had a low sensitivity but high specificity in predicting the presence of varices. However, SSM>30kPa alone or in combination with LSM>15kPa had better sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy in predicting varices.