# Prediction of Cell Survival Rate Based on Physical Characteristics of Heavy Ion Radiation

## TL;DR

This study uses statistical models to predict how well healthy cells survive heavy ion radiation, finding that adding energy transfer data improves accuracy.

## Contribution

The study demonstrates that incorporating linear energy transfer with machine learning improves cell survival rate predictions in heavy ion radiation.

## Key findings

- The random forest model achieved an R2 of 96.85% when linear energy transfer was included.
- Dose alone provides moderate prediction accuracy, but adding linear energy transfer significantly enhances it.
- Random forest models outperformed linear-quadratic and local regression models in RMSE.

## Abstract

The effect of ionizing radiation on cells is a complex process dependent on several parameters. Cancer treatment commonly involves the use of radiotherapy. In addition to the effective killing of cancer cells, another key aspect of radiotherapy is the protection of healthy cells. An interesting position is occupied by heavy ion radiation in the field of radiotherapy due to its high relative biological effectiveness, making it an effective method of treatment. The high biological efficiency of heavy ion radiation can also pose a danger to healthy cells. The extent of cell death induced by heavy ion radiation in cells was investigated using statistical learning methods in this study. The objective was to predict the healthy cell survival rate based on the physical parameters of the available ionizing radiation. This paper is based on secondary research utilizing the PIDE database. Throughout this study, a local regression and a random forest model were generated. Their predictions were compared to the results of a linear-quadratic model commonly utilized in the field of ionizing radiation using various metrics. The relationship between dose and cell survival rate was examined using the linear-quadratic (LQM) model and local regression (LocReg). An R2 value of 88.43% was achieved for LQM and 89.86% for LocReg. Upon incorporating linear energy transfer, the random forest model attained an R2 value of 96.85%. In terms of RMSE, the linear-quadratic model yielded 9.5910−2, the local regression 9.2110−2, and the random forest 1.96 × 10−2 (lower values indicate better performance). All of these methods were also applied to a log-transformed dataset to decrease the right skewedness of the distribution of the datapoints. This significantly reduced the estimates made with LQM and LocReg (28% decrease in the case of R2), while the random forest retained nearly the same level of estimation as the untransformed data. In conclusion, it can be inferred that dose alone provides a somewhat satisfactory explanatory power for cell survival rate, but the inclusion of linear energy transfer can significantly enhance prediction accuracy in terms of variance and explanatory power.