Short-term functional outcomes of patients with acute intracerebral hemorrhage in the native and expatriate population

TL;DR

This study examines the recovery and mortality rates of ICH patients in Qatar, finding differences between local and expatriate populations.

Contribution

The study provides new insights into ICH outcomes in a Middle Eastern population, highlighting the need for region-specific prognostic tools.

Findings

Expatriates had lower 90-day unfavorable outcomes and mortality compared to the local Arab population.

ICH volume, age, and intraventricular hemorrhage were significant predictors of poor outcomes.

Prognostic scoring systems may need adjustment for this younger, expatriate-rich population.

Abstract

Functional outcomes in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) have not been well characterized in the Middle East and North Africa Region. We report the 30 and 90-day clinical outcomes in the native and expatriate of Qatar with ICH.

We evaluated the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), NIHSS, and imaging in the Qatar Stroke Registry (2013–22). The outcome measures were a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days and mortality at 30 and 90 days. Unfavorable outcome was defined as mRS of 4–6. We performed non-parametric ROC analyses to measure the concordance index (C-index) to assess the goodness-of-fit of ICH score for predicting 30 day and 90-day mortality and functional outcome.

1,660 patients (median age of 49 (41.5–58) years; male 83.1%, expatriates 77.5%) with ICH, including supratentorial deep in 65.2%, cortical in 16.2%, infratentorial 16% and primary intraventricular in 2.5% were studied. The median baseline ICH volume was 7.5 (3.2–15.8) ml. An unfavorable outcome was seen in 673 (40.5%) patients at 90 days. The unfavorable 90-day outcome (mRS 4–6) was 49.2% in the native population vs. 44.4% in Africans, 39.0% in South Asian, 35.3% in Far Eastern, and 7.7% in Caucasians, p < 0.001. Mortality at 30 days and 90 days was 10.4 and 15.1%. Increasing age [OR (95% CI), 1.02 (1.00–1.03)], lower GCS [0.77 (0.73–0.80)], prior use of antiplatelet medications [1.82 (1.19–2.08)], higher ICH volume [1.03 (1.02–1.04)], and presence of any intraventricular hemorrhage [1.57(1.19–2.08)], were associated with unfavorable outcome.

In this relatively younger ICH cohort more than 75% were expatriates. The ICH volume, 90-day unfavorable outcome and mortality was lower in the expatriates compared to the local Arab population, likely related to the younger age and smaller size of the hemorrhages. Prognostic scoring systems may have to be modified in this population to avoid early withdrawal of care.

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