Association of the triglyceride-glucose index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with cardiometabolic syndrome: a national cohort study

TL;DR

This study finds that a triglyceride-glucose index is linked to higher all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in people with cardiometabolic syndrome, with specific thresholds indicating increased risk.

Contribution

The study identifies specific TyG index thresholds associated with increased mortality risk in cardiometabolic syndrome patients.

Findings

A higher TyG index is associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk.

A U-shaped relationship exists between TyG index and mortality, with thresholds at 9.104 and 8.758.

The association is stronger in individuals under 55 years old.

Abstract

This study aimed to evaluate the association of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risk among patients with cardiometabolic syndrome (CMS).

We performed a cohort study of 5754 individuals with CMS from the 2001–2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. The TyG index was calculated as Ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models assessed the associations between TyG index and mortality . Non-linear correlations and threshold effects were explored using restricted cubic splines and a two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards model.

Over a median follow-up of 107 months, 1201 all-cause deaths occurred, including 398 cardiovascular disease-related deaths. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model showed a positive association between the TyG index and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Each one-unit increase in the TyG index was associated with a 16% risk increase in all-cause mortality (HR: 1.16, 95% CI 1.03, 1.31, P = 0.017) and a 39% risk increase in cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.14, 1.71, P = 0.001) after adjusting for confounders. The restricted cubic splines revealed a U-shaped association between the TyG index and all-cause (P for nonlinear < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (P for nonlinear = 0.044), identifying threshold values (all-cause mortality: 9.104; cardiovascular mortality: 8.758). A TyG index below these thresholds displayed a negative association with all-cause mortality (HR: 0.58, 95% CI 0.38, 0.90, P = 0.015) but not with cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.39, 95% CI 0.12, 1.27, P = 0.119). Conversely, a TyG index exceeding these thresholds was positively associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.35, 95% CI 1.17, 1.55, P < 0.001; HR: 1.54, 95% CI 1.25, 1.90, P < 0.001, respectively). Notably, a higher TyG index (≥ threshold values) was significantly associated with increased mortality only among individuals aged under 55 compared to those with a lower TyG index (< threshold values).

The TyG index demonstrated a U-shaped correlation with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with CMS. The thresholds of 9.104 and 8.758 for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively, may be used as intervention targets to reduce the risk of premature death and cardiovascular disease.

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