LeapTS: Rethinking Time Series Forecasting as Adaptive Multi-Horizon Scheduling

TL;DR

LeapTS introduces a dynamic, multi-level scheduling framework for time series forecasting, enabling adaptive predictions and improved accuracy and speed over traditional fixed-mapping models.

Contribution

It reformulates forecasting as a hierarchical, adaptive scheduling process using neural controlled differential equations, enhancing flexibility and performance.

Findings

Improves forecasting accuracy by at least 7.4%.

Achieves 2.6 to 5.3 times faster inference.

Effectively captures non-stationary dynamics through scheduling trajectories.

Abstract

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat forecasting task as a fixed mapping from history to target horizons. This induces temporal decoupling across future time points and limits the model's ability to adapt to the evolving context as forecasting progresses. In this work, we present LeapTS, a novel framework that reformulates time series forecasting as a dynamic scheduling process over the prediction horizon. Specifically, LeapTS organizes the forecasting process into multi-level decisions using: (1) the hierarchical controller to dynamically select the optimal prediction scale and advancement length at each step, and (2) continuous-time state evolution driven by neural controlled differential equations. Within this process, the controlled update mechanism explicitly couples the irregular temporal dynamics with discrete scheduling feedback. Extensive evaluations on both real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that LeapTS improves overall forecasting performance by at least 7.4% while achieving a 2.6$\times$ to 5.3$\times$ inference speedup over representative Transformer-based models. Furthermore, by explicitly tracing the scheduling trajectories, we reveal how the model autonomously adapts its forecasting behavior to capture non-stationary dynamics.