A Geometric Perspective on Next-Token Prediction in Large Language Models: Three Emerging Phases

TL;DR

This paper explores the geometric evolution of predictive information in large language models across layers, revealing three distinct phases that characterize how information is processed and refined.

Contribution

It introduces a novel geometric diagnostic framework to analyze the evolution of predictive information in LLMs, identifying three emergent phases across different models.

Findings

Predictive information resides in a dominant subspace that evolves through three phases.

Three geometric phases are identified: Seeding Multiplexing, Hoisting Overriding, and Focal Convergence.

Deeper models mainly expand candidate disambiguation capacity rather than increasing overall information.

Abstract

We investigate the geometry of predictive information across the layers of large language models (LLMs). We repurpose representation lenses-learned affine maps trained to predict the next token from intermediate residual streams-as geometric diagnostic tools. Rather than asking what the model predicts at each layer, we ask where predictive information resides and how it evolves across depth. We define at each layer a predictive readout subspace as the dominant k-dimensional singular subspace of such a map on the d-dimensional residual stream (where k is a resolution parameter), and track its trajectory on the Grassmann manifold as a similarity profile across layers. The profile is well described by unimodal distributions exhibiting a rise, near-plateau, and descent; varying k from 1% to 50% of d traces a Pareto frontier between visibility and energy retention, yet the same structure emerges at all scales. Across eight models from two families (Qwen2.5 and OLMo2, 1B-32B), we identify three geometric phases. Updates are approximately orthogonal to the residual stream throughout; what distinguishes the phases is their effect on the effective rank, which expands, stabilizes, and concentrates. In the first, Seeding Multiplexing, feed-forward memories and attention layers seed a candidate set in superposition in family-specific proportions, with the final token rising as leading candidate from 20% to 35% of positions across this phase. In the second, Hoisting Overriding, updates override existing subspaces to concentrate the candidate distribution without expanding the rank. In the third, Focal Convergence, high-energy low-rank updates write the winner into a form aligned with the unembedding direction. Phases 1 and 3 grow slowly with model depth, while Phase 2 expands linearly. The additional capacity of deeper LLMs is largely absorbed by candidate disambiguation.