What Will Happen Next: Large Models-Driven Deduction for Emergency Instances

TL;DR

This paper introduces WLDS, a large model-driven system for diversified emergency scenario deduction, improving risk assessment and decision-making through controllable randomness, factual and logical calibration, and multimodal visualization.

Contribution

The paper presents WLDS, a novel large model-based system that enhances emergency scenario simulation with calibration mechanisms and multimodal visualization, addressing limitations of traditional methods.

Findings

WLDS achieves high-precision emergency scenario deduction.

WLDS generates diverse and realistic emergency instances.

Experiments show WLDS supports better emergency decision-making.

Abstract

Traditional simulation methods reproduce occurred emergency instances through presetting to assist people in risk assessment and emergency decision-making. However, due to the lack of randomness and diversity, existing simulation systems struggle to fully explore the potential risk as emergency instances are scarce. In contrast, Large Models (LMs) can dynamically adjust generation strategies to introduce controllable randomness, while also possessing extensive prior knowledge and cross-domain knowledge transfer capabilities. Inspired by it, we propose the LMs-driven World Line Divergence System (WLDS), which enables diversified visualization and deduction of emergency instances in different domains. WLDS leverages LMs to deduce emergency instances in various development directions, and introduces the factual calibration and logical calibration mechanism to ensure factual accuracy and logical rigor during the deduction process. The interactive module can independently select deduction directions to avoid potential hallucinations that are difficult for the system to identify. Furthermore, by introducing the visualization module, WLDS forms simulation and deduction that combine text and images, which enhances interpretability. Extensive experiments conducted on the proposed Emergency Instances Deduction (EID) benchmark dataset demonstrate that WLDS achieves high-precision and high-fidelity simulation and deduction of emergency instances in multiple specific domains. Relevant experiments further demonstrate that WLDS can generate more emergency instances deduction data for users and provide support for better decision-making in similar emergency instances in the future.