Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors
Badr Moufad, Albina Ilina, Hai Victor Habi, Salem Lahlou, Yazid Janati, Hagit Messer, Eric Moulines

TL;DR
This paper introduces a Bayesian inverse problem approach using diffusion models as priors for reconstructing rainfall fields from commercial microwave link data, improving accuracy over traditional methods.
Contribution
It proposes a novel framework that employs diffusion models as high-fidelity priors, enabling training-free posterior sampling for rain field reconstruction from CML data.
Findings
Diffusion models better preserve rainfall statistics than Gaussian processes.
The method achieves consistent improvements over existing CML-based baselines.
Experiments on synthetic and real data validate the approach.
Abstract
Commercial Microwave Links (CMLs) offer dense spatial coverage for rainfall sensing but produce path-integrated measurements that make accurate ground-level reconstruction challenging. Existing methods typically oversimplify CMLs as point sensors and neglect line integration relating rainfall to signal attenuation, resulting in degraded performance under heterogeneous precipitation. In this work, we view rain field reconstruction as a Bayesian inverse problem with Diffusion Models (DMs) as high-fidelity spatial priors. We show that diffusion models better preserve key rainfall statistics compared to censored Gaussian processes. Framing rainfall estimation as a Bayesian inverse problem with a DM prior enables training-free posterior sampling using a broad family of methods, including Plug-and-Play, Sequential Monte Carlo, and Replica Exchange methods. Experiments on synthetic and…
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