Human-Provenance Verification should be Treated as Labor Infrastructure in AI-Saturated Markets
Erin McGurk, David Khachaturov

TL;DR
This paper argues that in AI-saturated markets, human-provenance verification functions as essential labor infrastructure, emphasizing its role in maintaining the value of human presence amid AI-driven automation.
Contribution
It introduces the concept of human-provenance premiums as labor infrastructure and advocates for treating verification systems as fundamental to AI governance.
Findings
AI compresses middle-tier knowledge work, reducing its economic value.
Demand shifts toward human labor valued for visible human traits.
Verification of human presence is crucial for maintaining premium value.
Abstract
We argue that AI-saturated markets are likely to create Veblen-good premiums, which we term human-provenance premiums, for verified human presence, and hence AI governance should treat human-provenance verification as labor infrastructure. Generative and agentic AI systems lower the cost of many standardized cognitive, creative, and coordination tasks, weakening the scarcity premiums that have supported much middle-tier knowledge work. We argue that this pressure may produce an asymmetric barbell-shaped structure of value capture in advanced economies: high-volume synthetic production controlled by owners of AI infrastructure at one pole, and scarce, high-status human labor valued for verified human presence at the other. We advance three claims. First, AI compresses the value of standardized middle-tier labor by making good-enough synthetic substitutes scalable at low marginal cost,…
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