The proportion of permutations fixing a $k$-set
Ben Green, Mehtaab Sawhney

TL;DR
This paper derives an asymptotic formula for the probability that a large permutation has an invariant subset of size k, involving a smooth function and a power-logarithmic decay.
Contribution
It provides the first explicit asymptotic formula for the probability of fixing a k-set in permutations, including the behavior of an associated oscillating function.
Findings
Asymptotic formula for p(k) involving a smooth function f.
The function f varies very little, with a ratio less than 1 + 2×10^{-7}.
Conjecture that f is not constant, indicating subtle oscillations.
Abstract
Denote by the limit, as , of the probability that a random permutation on a set of size has an invariant set of size . We give an asymptotic formula for , showing that it is asymptotically where and is a smooth, positive, function on , which we will describe explicitly. The function satisfies and we conjecture that it is not constant. Estimating is a model for the more well-known question which asks for an estimation of , the number of distinct elements in the -by- multiplication table. By elaborating on the techniques in this paper, we will give an asymptotic for in forthcoming work.
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