The Hollyfeld Gambit in Astrophysics

TL;DR

This paper compares the expected returns of the Hollyfeld Gambit in Powerball to federal astrophysics funding, suggesting it may be a better investment if current trends continue.

Contribution

It introduces a Monte Carlo method to estimate the Hollyfeld Gambit's return and compares it to astrophysical grant funding.

Findings

Hollyfeld Gambit has a higher estimated return than federal grants by the end of the decade.

Monte Carlo estimation effectively models the rate of return for the Gambit.

If current trends persist, gambling may outperform federal funding in astrophysics investments.

Abstract

We estimate the Hollyfeld Gambit for the Powerball lottery and its return on investment compared to present and extrapolated federal funding for astrophysical grants. Using a Monte Carlo estimation of rate of return for the Powerball, we conclude a Hollyfeld Gambit is a better bet than a federal grant by the end of the decade if current trends hold.