Adversarial Vulnerabilities in Neural Operator Digital Twins: Gradient-Free Attacks on Nuclear Thermal-Hydraulic Surrogates

TL;DR

This paper reveals that neural operator models used in nuclear system digital twins are highly vulnerable to sparse, physically plausible adversarial attacks that can cause significant prediction errors without detection.

Contribution

It introduces a gradient-free attack method and a diagnostic metric, revealing structural vulnerabilities in neural operator models for safety-critical applications.

Findings

Sparse perturbations cause catastrophic prediction errors

Gradient-free attacks outperform gradient-based methods on certain architectures

Vulnerabilities are structurally inherent and often undetectable by standard validation

Abstract

Operator learning models are rapidly emerging as the predictive core of digital twins for nuclear and energy systems, promising real-time field reconstruction from sparse sensor measurements. Yet their robustness to adversarial perturbations remains uncharacterized, a critical gap for deployment in safety-critical systems. Here we show that neural operators are acutely vulnerable to extremely sparse (fewer than 1% of inputs), physically plausible perturbations that exploit their sensitivity to boundary conditions. Using gradient-free differential evolution across four operator architectures, we demonstrate that minimal modifications trigger catastrophic prediction failures, increasing relative $L_2$ error from $\sim$1.5% (validated accuracy) to 37-63% while remaining completely undetectable by standard validation metrics. Notably, 100% of successful single-point attacks pass z-score anomaly detection. We introduce the effective perturbation dimension $d_{\text{eff}}$, a Jacobian-based diagnostic that, together with sensitivity magnitude, yields a two-factor vulnerability model explaining why architectures with extreme sensitivity concentration (POD-DeepONet, $d_{\text{eff}} \approx 1$) are not necessarily the most exploitable, since low-rank output projections cap maximum error, while moderate concentration with sufficient amplification (S-DeepONet, $d_{\text{eff}} \approx 4$) produces the highest attack success. Gradient-free search outperforms gradient-based alternatives (PGD) on architectures with gradient pathologies, while random perturbations of equal magnitude achieve near-zero success rates, confirming that the discovered vulnerabilities are structural. Our findings expose a previously overlooked attack surface in operator learning models and establish that these models require robustness guarantees beyond standard validation before deployment.