Fine-tuning Timeseries Predictors Using Reinforcement Learning
Hugo Cazaux, Ralph Rudd, Hlynur Stef\'ansson, Sverrir \'Olafsson, Eyj\'olfur Ingi \'Asgeirsson

TL;DR
This paper explores reinforcement learning algorithms for fine-tuning financial time series predictors, demonstrating performance improvements and transfer learning benefits through empirical evaluation.
Contribution
It introduces a clear implementation plan for backpropagating reinforcement learning loss to supervised models and compares pre- and post-fine-tuning performance.
Findings
Performance increases after fine-tuning
Transfer learning properties observed in models
Empirical results support practical implementation
Abstract
This chapter presents three major reinforcement learning algorithms used for fine-tuning financial forecasters. We propose a clear implementation plan for backpropagating the loss of a reinforcement learning task to a model trained using supervised learning, and compare the performance before and after the fine-tuning. We find an increase in performance after fine-tuning, and transfer learning properties to the models, indicating the benefits of fine-tuning. We also highlight the tuning process and empirical results for future implementation by practitioners.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStock Market Forecasting Methods · Forecasting Techniques and Applications · Energy Load and Power Forecasting
