Sharp Threshold for the Convergence of Nonstationary Averaging
Saba Lepsveridze, Elchanan Mossel

TL;DR
This paper establishes a precise threshold for convergence in non-stationary averaging processes, extending classical results and analyzing two regimes: bounded weights and fixed shape densities.
Contribution
It provides a sharp convergence threshold for non-stationary averaging sequences with bounded weights and proves convergence under fixed shape density conditions.
Findings
Convergence occurs if + eta/2 1 in bounded weight regime.
Sequences may fail to converge if + eta/2 > 1.
Sequences with fixed limiting density on (0,1) converge under mild conditions.
Abstract
We study non-stationary averaging processes, where each term of a sequence is a weighted average of previous terms, namely . Our results extend classical theory in two distinct regimes. First, we prove a sharp threshold for convergence in the regime where the weights are bounded between two envelopes . We show that the sequence necessarily converges when , while the convergence can fail. Second, we study complementary fixed shape regime, when is obtained by a fixed limiting density on . We show that under mild regularity assumptions, the sequence converges.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics · Random Matrices and Applications
