Enhancing Diversity and Feasibility: Joint Population Synthesis from Multi-source Data Using Generative Models

TL;DR

This paper introduces a novel joint generative model using WGANs to synthesize diverse and feasible populations from multiple data sources, improving over traditional sequential methods in urban planning applications.

Contribution

The study presents a new joint learning approach with a regularization term for better diversity and feasibility in synthetic population generation from multi-source data.

Findings

Joint approach outperforms sequential baseline in recall and precision.

Regularization improves diversity and feasibility metrics.

Overall similarity score increased to 88.1 from 84.6.

Abstract

Generating realistic synthetic populations is essential for agent-based models (ABM) in transportation and urban planning. Current methods face two major limitations. First, many rely on a single dataset or follow a sequential data fusion and generation process, which means they fail to capture the complex interplay between features. Second, these approaches struggle with sampling zeros (valid but unobserved attribute combinations) and structural zeros (infeasible combinations due to logical constraints), which reduce the diversity and feasibility of the generated data. This study proposes a novel method to simultaneously integrate and synthesize multi-source datasets using a Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network (WGAN) with gradient penalty. This joint learning method improves both the diversity and feasibility of synthetic data by defining a regularization term (inverse gradient penalty) for the generator loss function. For the evaluation, we implement a unified evaluation metric for similarity, and place special emphasis on measuring diversity and feasibility through recall, precision, and the F1 score. Results show that the proposed joint approach outperforms the sequential baseline, with recall increasing by 7\% and precision by 15\%. Additionally, the regularization term further improves diversity and feasibility, reflected in a 10\% increase in recall and 1\% in precision. We assess similarity distributions using a five-metric score. The joint approach performs better overall, and reaches a score of 88.1 compared to 84.6 for the sequential method. Since synthetic populations serve as a key input for ABM, this multi-source generative approach has the potential to significantly enhance the accuracy and reliability of ABM.