Predicting Developer Acceptance of AI-Generated Code Suggestions

TL;DR

This paper presents an empirical study analyzing large-scale industrial developer-AI interactions to identify factors influencing acceptance of AI-generated code suggestions and introduces a predictive model that significantly improves filtering accuracy.

Contribution

It provides the first quantitative analysis of code suggestion acceptance using industrial data and introduces CSAP, a model that predicts acceptance with high accuracy to reduce developer interruptions.

Findings

Accepted suggestions have higher historical acceptance ratios.

Longer generation intervals correlate with acceptance.

CSAP achieves over 92 ext{ }accuracy on balanced datasets.

Abstract

AI-assisted programming tools are widely adopted, yet their practical utility is often undermined by undesired suggestions that interrupt developer workflows and cause frustration. While existing research has explored developer-AI interactions when programming qualitatively, a significant gap remains in quantitative analysis of developers' acceptance of AI-generated code suggestions, partly because the necessary fine-grained interaction data is often proprietary. To bridge this gap, this paper conducts an empirical study using 66,329 industrial developer-AI interactions from a large technology company. We analyze features that are significantly different between accepted code suggestions and rejected ones. We find that accepted suggestions are characterized by significantly higher historical acceptance counts and ratios for both developers and projects, longer generation intervals, shorter preceding code context in the project, and older IDE versions. Based on these findings, we introduce CSAP (Code Suggestion Acceptance Prediction) to predict whether a developer will accept the code suggestion before it is displayed. Our evaluation of CSAP shows that it achieves the accuracy of 0.973 and 0.922 on imbalanced and balanced dataset respectively. Compared to a large language model baseline and an in-production industrial filter, CSAP relatively improves the accuracy by 12.6\% and 69.5\% on imbalanced dataset, and improves the accuracy by 87.0\% and 140.1\% on balanced dataset. Our results demonstrate that targeted personalization is a powerful approach for filtering out code suggestions with predicted rejection and reduce developer interruption. To the best of our knowledge, it is the first quantitative study of code suggestion acceptance on large-scale industrial data, and this work also sheds light on an important research direction of AI-assisted programming.