OpFML: Pipeline for ML-based Operational Forecasting

TL;DR

OpFML is a flexible pipeline designed for deploying machine learning models in operational periodic forecasting, demonstrated here with wildfire danger assessment.

Contribution

The paper introduces OpFML, a configurable pipeline that facilitates machine learning deployment for operational forecasting in climate and earth sciences.

Findings

Effective daily Fire Danger Index forecasting

Pipeline's adaptability to different models and data

Potential to improve wildfire risk assessment accuracy

Abstract

Machine learning is finding its application in a multitude of areas in science and research, and Climate and Earth Sciences is no exception to this trend. Operational forecasting systems based on data-driven approaches and machine learning methods deploy models for periodic forecasting. Wildfire danger assessment using machine learning has garnered significant interest in the last decade, as conventional methods often overestimate the risk of wildfires. In this work, we present the code OpFML: Operational Forecasting with Machine Learning. OpFML is a configurable and adaptable pipeline that can be utilized to serve a machine learning model for periodic forecasting. We further demonstrate the capabilities of the pipeline through its application to daily Fire Danger Index forecasting and outline its various features.