Dynamic reinsurance via martingale transport
Beatrice Acciaio, Brandon Garcia Flores, Antonio Marini, Gudmund Pammer

TL;DR
This paper introduces a dynamic reinsurance framework using martingale optimal transport to control the insurer's surplus distribution while minimizing ceded risk, providing a tractable solution under various constraints.
Contribution
It applies martingale optimal transport techniques to develop a novel dynamic reinsurance model with explicit solutions for surplus distribution control.
Findings
Provides a tractable solution similar to the Bass martingale
Extends the model to include moment and risk-based constraints
Demonstrates the applicability of martingale transport in reinsurance optimization
Abstract
We formulate a dynamic reinsurance problem in which the insurer seeks to control the terminal distribution of its surplus while minimizing the L2-norm of the ceded risk. Using techniques from martingale optimal transport, we show that, under suitable assumptions, the problem admits a tractable solution analogous to the Bass martingale. We first consider the case where the insurer wants to match a given terminal distribution of the surplus process, and then relax this condition by only requiring certain moment or risk-based constraints.
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Taxonomy
TopicsProbability and Risk Models · Risk and Portfolio Optimization · Stochastic processes and financial applications
