Approximate FKG inequalities for phase-bound spin systems, with applications to central limit theorems for exponential random graphs

TL;DR

This paper establishes that individual phases in exponential random graph models (ERGMs) approximately satisfy the FKG inequality, enabling phase-specific central limit theorems in low-temperature regimes.

Contribution

It proves an approximate FKG inequality within phases of ERGMs and applies this to derive phase-specific CLTs, addressing a key open question.

Findings

Individual ERGM phases satisfy an approximate FKG inequality.

Phase-specific CLTs are proven within the phase-coexistence regime.

The results are based on a general metastable mixing framework.

Abstract

The Fortuin-Kasteleyn-Ginibre (FKG) inequality is an invaluable tool in monotone spin systems satisfying the FKG lattice condition, which provides positive correlations for all coordinate-wise increasing functions of spins. This inequality has numerous applications and plays an integral role in the proof of various central limit theorems (CLTs), including recent work on ferromagnetic exponential random graph models (ERGMs) wherein a Hamiltonian tilt promotes the presence of small subgraphs like triangles. However, the FKG lattice condition fails to hold when confining a spin system to a particular phase in the low-temperature regime of parameters. Thus it is not a priori clear if each phase internally has positive correlations for increasing functions, or if the positive correlations in the overall model (which is a mixture of phases) arise primarily from the global choice of phase. In this article, we show that the individual phases in ERGMs do indeed satisfy an approximate form of the FKG inequality internally. We use this to finish the proof of various CLTs within each individual phase in the phase-coexistence regime, answering a question posed by Bianchi, Collet, and Magnanini. We present the FKG inequality for ERGMs as a consequence of a more general result which holds under certain inputs related to metastable mixing; we expect this general result to be widely applicable, and we devote a section to spelling out the details of its application to a class of generalized higher-order ferromagnetic Curie-Weiss models where the necessary inputs are relatively transparent.