Detecting Planted Structure in Circular Data
Taha Ameen, Bruce Hajek

TL;DR
This paper investigates hypothesis testing for circular data with hidden structures, establishing near-optimal conditions for detecting planted signals under various models and distributions.
Contribution
It introduces a comprehensive framework for detecting planted structures in circular data, deriving nearly matching conditions for detectability across multiple models.
Findings
Derived necessary and sufficient conditions for detection
Established information-theoretic phase transitions
Analyzed different distributions and planted structures
Abstract
Hypothesis testing problems for circular data are formulated, where observations take values on the unit circle and may contain a hidden, phase-coherent structure. Under the null, the data are independent uniform on the unit circle; under the alternative, either (i) a planted subset of size K concentrates around an unknown phase (the flat setting), or (ii) a planted community of size k induces coherence among the edges of a complete graph (the community setting). In each of the two settings, two circular signal distributions are considered: a hard-cluster distribution, where correlated planted observations lie in an arc of known length and unknown location, and a von Mises distribution, where correlated planted observations follow a von Mises distribution with a common unknown location parameter. For each of the four resulting models, nearly matching necessary and sufficient conditions…
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Taxonomy
TopicsBayesian Methods and Mixture Models · Random Matrices and Applications · Statistical Mechanics and Entropy
