Tracking Temporal Dynamics of Vector Sets with Gaussian Process
Taichi Aida, Mamoru Komachi, Toshinobu Ogiso, Hiroya Takamura, Daichi Mochihashi

TL;DR
This paper introduces a Gaussian process-based method to model and visualize the temporal evolution of vector sets, enabling analysis of dynamic structures in fields like ecology, crime analysis, and linguistics.
Contribution
The work presents a novel approach using Gaussian processes and Random Fourier Features to track and interpret time-varying vector sets across multiple domains.
Findings
Effectively captures temporal dynamics in sociological and linguistic data
Provides interpretable low-dimensional visualizations of vector set evolution
Demonstrates robustness and versatility across different datasets
Abstract
Understanding the temporal evolution of sets of vectors is a fundamental challenge across various domains, including ecology, crime analysis, and linguistics. For instance, ecosystem structures evolve due to interactions among plants, herbivores, and carnivores; the spatial distribution of crimes shifts in response to societal changes; and word embedding vectors reflect cultural and semantic trends over time. However, analyzing such time-varying sets of vectors is challenging due to their complicated structures, which also evolve over time. In this work, we propose a novel method for modeling the distribution underlying each set of vectors using infinite-dimensional Gaussian processes. By approximating the latent function in the Gaussian process with Random Fourier Features, we obtain compact and comparable vector representations over time. This enables us to track and visualize…
Peer Reviews
Decision·ICLR 2026 Conference Withdrawn Submission
1. The paper introduces an innovative approach to representing and tracking the evolution of vector sets over time by combining Gaussian Processes with Random Fourier Features. 2. The paper leverage PCA method to provide intuitive understanding of temporal dynamics. 3. The paper is well-structured, with clear methodological exposition, illustrative figures, and detailed experimental setups.
1. It seems like the experiments, while diverse (synthetic, crime, and linguistic datasets), remain primarily qualitative. 2. The paper applies a single set of hyperparameters (e.g., RFF dimension K=30, Gaussian kernel bandwidth) across all experiments, without justification or sensitivity analysis.
- The proposed method is a simple yet elegant way of dealing with vector sets.
- The novelty of this paper is somewhat limited. The main technical contribution here is applying GPs to vector sets, and the idea of using RFFs to work with the inference of GPs are not novel. - The authors used a 2-dim PCA to visualize the multi-dimensional data. Why don't use a better method such as t-SNE? - There is no comparison with other related methods that models evolution of vector sets.
- The problem of tracking the temporal dynamics of vector sets is important. - The authors conducted experiments using multiple synthetic and real datasets with the proposed method and examined the analysis results.
- The proposed method using RFF-based GP and PCA is merely a combination of existing methods and lacks novelty. - Approaches considering the temporal evolution of weights for basis functions, such as spectral methods, have been widely used for a long time. - The advantage of using Gaussian processes is not clear.
Coupling the Gaussian Process modeling with a finite dimensional representation using Random Fourier Features is promissing. The initial results suggest potential benefits.
The overall method sounds interesting but lacks clarity. • Some estimated densities show high values in empty regions. The heat maps do not reflect completely the behaviours. • PCA interpretation is not always straightforward (PC1/PC2 excluded for crimes). How much variance is explained? And why choosing PCA3 and 5 sometimes and how much variance do they explain? • Part of the method is unclear: it uses Metropolis-Hastings for optimization although these methods are samplers. How do you use thi
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Taxonomy
TopicsComplex Network Analysis Techniques · Time Series Analysis and Forecasting · Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference
