Further Statistical Study of NISQ Experiments
Gil Kalai, Tomer Shoham, Carsten Voelkmann

TL;DR
This paper revisits and extends statistical analyses of NISQ experiments, especially Google's 2019 quantum supremacy, using more detailed data and exploring additional experiments.
Contribution
It provides an extended statistical analysis of NISQ experiments, refining previous models and offering preliminary insights into other quantum experiments.
Findings
Enhanced error modeling for Google's quantum supremacy
Refined predictions based on detailed experimental data
Initial analysis of other NISQ experiments
Abstract
We revisit and extend some topics that we studied in our previous works (Rinott, Kalai and Shoham 2022; Kalai, Rinott and Shoham, 2023,2024) regarding the Google 2019 "quantum supremacy" experiment. We extend our analysis of the prediction based on Google's digital error model (Formula (77)), based on more detailed data provided by Google. We also provide some preliminary analysis for a few other NISQ experiments.
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Taxonomy
TopicsQuantum Mechanics and Applications · Benford’s Law and Fraud Detection · Quantum Computing Algorithms and Architecture
