Covariance Estimation for Matrix-variate Data via Fixed-rank Core Covariance Geometry
Bongjung Sung

TL;DR
This paper explores the geometric structure of fixed-rank core covariance matrices in matrix-variate data, proposing a new estimator based on this geometry.
Contribution
It characterizes the manifold structure of rank-constrained core covariance matrices and introduces a novel shrinkage estimator leveraging this geometry.
Findings
The space of rank-$r$ core covariance matrices forms a smooth manifold.
The proposed estimator improves covariance estimation for matrix-variate data.
Derived geometric properties facilitate optimization on the covariance manifold.
Abstract
We study the geometry of the fixed-rank core covariance manifold arising from the Kronecker-core decomposition of covariance matrices. As shown in Hoff, McCormack, and Zhang (2023), every covariance matrix of matrix-variate data uniquely decomposes into a separable component and a core component . Such a decomposition also exists for rank- if , with sharing the same rank. If this core exhibits a partial-isotropy structure, then a partial-isotropy rank- core is a non-trivial convex combination of a rank- core and for , where the weight on measures the deviation of from separability. This motivates studying the geometry of the space of rank- cores, . We show that is a smooth manifold, except for a measure-zero subset…
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