Product Depth for Temporal Point Processes Observed Only Up to the First k Events
Chifeng Shen, Yuejiao Fu, Xiaoping Shi, and Michael Chen

TL;DR
This paper introduces a new product depth measure for temporal point processes observed only up to the first k events, enabling better analysis of their centrality and distribution.
Contribution
The paper develops a novel product depth function tailored for TPPs observed up to the first k events, with theoretical properties and practical applications.
Findings
The proposed depth captures the temporal distribution of the final event.
It effectively characterizes the joint distribution of preceding events.
Simulation and real data demonstrate its utility.
Abstract
Temporal point processes (TPPs) model the timing of discrete events along a timeline and are widely used in fields such as neuroscience and fi- nance. Statistical depth functions are powerful tools for analyzing centrality and ranking in multivariate and functional data, yet existing depth notions for TPPs remain limited. In this paper, we propose a novel product depth specifically designed for TPPs observed only up to the first k events. Our depth function comprises two key components: a normalized marginal depth, which captures the temporal distribution of the final event, and a conditional depth, which characterizes the joint distribution of the preceding events. We establish its key theoretical properties and demonstrate its practical utility through simulation studies and real data applications.
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Taxonomy
TopicsPoint processes and geometric inequalities · Random Matrices and Applications · Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
