DDTime: Dataset Distillation with Spectral Alignment and Information Bottleneck for Time-Series Forecasting
Yuqi Li, Kuiye Ding, Chuanguang Yang, Hao Wang, Haoxuan Wang, Huiran Duan, Junming Liu, Yingli Tian

TL;DR
DDTime introduces a novel dataset distillation framework for time-series forecasting that uses spectral alignment and information bottleneck principles to improve synthetic data quality and model accuracy efficiently.
Contribution
The paper presents DDTime, a lightweight, plug-in distillation method that addresses autocorrelation bias and synthetic sample diversity in time-series data, enhancing distillation effectiveness.
Findings
Achieves about 30% relative accuracy improvement over existing methods.
Introduces spectral alignment to mitigate autocorrelation bias.
Adds only 2.49% computational overhead.
Abstract
Time-series forecasting is fundamental across many domains, yet training accurate models often requires large-scale datasets and substantial computational resources. Dataset distillation offers a promising alternative by synthesizing compact datasets that preserve the learning behavior of full data. However, extending dataset distillation to time-series forecasting is non-trivial due to two fundamental challenges: 1.temporal bias from strong autocorrelation, which leads to distorted value-term alignment between teacher and student models; and 2.insufficient diversity among synthetic samples, arising from the absence of explicit categorical priors to regularize trajectory variety. In this work, we propose DDTime, a lightweight and plug-in distillation framework built upon first-order condensation decomposition. To tackle Challenge 1, it revisits value-term alignment through temporal…
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Taxonomy
TopicsTime Series Analysis and Forecasting · Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques · Stock Market Forecasting Methods
