General Circulation Models of Hycean Worlds

TL;DR

This paper develops a 3D climate model for Hycean worlds, a subset of sub-Neptunes with potential habitability, to understand their atmospheric dynamics and stability under various conditions.

Contribution

It introduces a GCM tailored for Hycean planets, exploring their climate states and stability thresholds with different surface pressures and albedo treatments.

Findings

Dynamical structures similar to tidally-locked terrestrial planets observed.

Runaway greenhouse threshold depends on albedo and atmospheric pressure.

Realistic scattering models lower lapse rates and enhance thermal inversions.

Abstract

Sub-Neptunes represent the current frontier of exoplanet atmospheric characterisation. A proposed subset, Hycean planets, would have liquid water oceans and be potentially habitable, but there are many unanswered questions about their atmospheric dynamics and 3D climate states. To explore such climates in detail, we report a General Circulation Model (GCM) for Hycean worlds, building on a modified version of the ExoCAM GCM. Considering the temperate sub-Neptune K2-18 b as a Hycean candidate, we implement GCMs with different surface pressures and albedos. We find dynamical structures similar to those of tidally-locked terrestrial planets as `slow rotators' with either one equatorial or twin mid-latitude zonal jets. We see moist convective inhibition that matches high resolution models, although in hotter cases the inhibited zone is subsaturated. When imposing a top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) Bond albedo ($A_b$) by modifying the incident stellar flux, we find that the threshold for K2-18~b to not enter a runaway greenhouse state is $A_b \geq 0.55$ for a 1 bar atmosphere, consistent with previous studies, and $A_b \geq 0.8$ for a 5 bar atmosphere. However, a more realistic treatment of the albedo, by modelling scattering within the atmosphere using an enhanced Rayleigh parametrisation, leads to lower lapse rates and stronger thermal inversions. We find that 1 bar atmospheres are stable for an albedo of $A_b \geq 0.27$, 5 bar atmospheres for $A_b \geq 0.35$, and 10 bar atmospheres for $A_b \geq 0.48$. Moderate albedos such as these are typical of the solar system planets and the required scattering is consistent with observational constraints for K2-18~b, supporting its plausibility as a Hycean world.