# Explainable Chain-of-Thought Reasoning: An Empirical Analysis on State-Aware Reasoning Dynamics

**Authors:** Sheldon Yu, Yuxin Xiong, Junda Wu, Xintong Li, Tong Yu, Xiang Chen, Ritwik Sinha, Jingbo Shang, Julian McAuley

arXiv: 2509.00190 · 2026-01-30

## TL;DR

This paper introduces a state-aware framework for analyzing chain-of-thought reasoning in large language models, enhancing interpretability by modeling reasoning steps as a Markov chain of latent semantic states.

## Contribution

It proposes a novel spectral clustering and Markov chain modeling approach to capture and visualize the global dynamics of reasoning processes in LLMs.

## Key findings

- Semantic states identified via spectral analysis
- Global reasoning dynamics visualized as Markov chains
- Enhanced interpretability of reasoning trajectories

## Abstract

Recent advances in chain-of-thought (CoT) prompting have enabled large language models (LLMs) to perform multi-step reasoning. However, the explainability of such reasoning remains limited, with prior work primarily focusing on local token-level attribution, such that the high-level semantic roles of reasoning steps and their transitions remain underexplored. In this paper, we introduce a state-aware transition framework that abstracts CoT trajectories into structured latent dynamics. Specifically, to capture the evolving semantics of CoT reasoning, each reasoning step is represented via spectral analysis of token-level embeddings and clustered into semantically coherent latent states. To characterize the global structure of reasoning, we model their progression as a Markov chain, yielding a structured and interpretable view of the reasoning process. This abstraction supports a range of analyses, including semantic role identification, temporal pattern visualization, and consistency evaluation.

## Full text

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## Figures

17 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/2509.00190/full.md

## References

35 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/2509.00190/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/2509.00190