# The Aftermath of Peace: The Impact of the FARC's Ceasefire on Forced Displacement in Colombia

**Authors:** Pedro Albarr\'an, Antonio Robles, Anna Sanz-de-Galdeano

arXiv: 2508.20662 · 2025-08-29

## TL;DR

This paper analyzes how the 2014 FARC ceasefire in Colombia reduced forced internal displacement, emphasizing the importance of peace stability in mitigating displacement and its long-term effects.

## Contribution

It provides empirical evidence on the impact of the FARC ceasefire on displacement using a difference-in-differences approach, highlighting the role of peace processes.

## Key findings

- Significant reduction in severe displacement episodes post-ceasefire
- Effects emerged gradually and persisted over time
- Stability and effective peace implementation are crucial for displacement mitigation

## Abstract

Colombia's prolonged conflict has made the country one of the most affected by forced internal displacement (FID) in the world. This study examines the impact of the FARC's 2014 unilateral and permanent ceasefire on FID. We use a difference-in-differences strategy that exploits the timing of the ceasefire and the pre-conflict distribution of FARC presence across municipalities. Results show a substantial reduction in severe displacement episodes in affected areas, with effects that emerged gradually and persisted over time. These findings highlight the importance of stability and the effective implementation of peace agreements in mitigating FID and its far-reaching consequences.

## Full text

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## Figures

15 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/2508.20662/full.md

## References

25 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/2508.20662/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/2508.20662