Estimating non-linear functionals of trawl processes
Orimar Sauri

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Abstract
Trawl processes are a family of continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary processes whose correlation structure is entirely characterized by their so-called trawl function. This paper investigates the problem of estimating non-linear functionals of a trawl function under in-fill and long-span sampling schemes. Specifically, building on the work of \cite{SauriVeraart23}, we introduce non-parametric estimators for functionals of the type and , where represents the trawl function of interest and a non-linear test function. We show that our estimator for is consistent and asymptotically Gaussian regardless of the memory of the process. We further demonstrate that the same phenomenon occurs for the estimation of as long as $g(x)= \mathrm{O} (\lvert…
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Estimating non-linear functionals of trawl processes
Orimar Sauri
Abstract
Trawl processes are a family of continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary processes whose correlation structure is entirely characterized by their so-called trawl function. This paper investigates the problem of estimating non-linear functionals of a trawl function under in-fill and long-span sampling schemes. Specifically, building on the work of [19], we introduce non-parametric estimators for functionals of the type and , where represents the trawl function of interest and a non-linear test function. We show that our estimator for is consistent and asymptotically Gaussian regardless of the memory of the process. We further demonstrate that the same phenomenon occurs for the estimation of as long as , as , for some . Additionally, we illustrate how our results can be used to construct a test statistic robust to memory effects for the presence of -dependent.
Keywords: Functional limit theorems; Infinitely divisible processes; Nonparametric estimation; Trawl processes.
1. Introduction
Trawl processes form a subclass of continuous-time, strictly stationary, and infinitely divisible processes. Specifically, a trawl process is constructed by evaluating a Lévy basis – also known as an infinitely divisible independently scattered random measure – over a set , known as a trawl set, which is typically a subset of . The distribution of is completely determined by , while the autocorrelation function of is fully described by the so-called trawl function . This relationship is expressed through the identity
[TABLE]
By design, a trawl process offers a highly flexible autocorrelation structure and produces a wide range of marginal distributions within the class of infinitely divisible distributions. These features make trawl processes suitable for modeling data with stylized facts such as non-Gaussianity, heavy tails, jumps, and persistence. This is reflected in their increasing popularity for modeling complex temporal phenomena across disciplines such as finance ([2, 4, 22, 25, 26]) and physics ([10, 16, 20]).
Regarding statistical inference for trawl processes, various parametric approaches have been explored in the literature. See for instance [1, 2, 4, 21]. In this context, the work in [19] is the first to address non-parametric estimation of the trawl function and serves as the starting point for the present study. Specifically, that paper proves that, given equidistant observations of , say , the trawl function can be consistently estimated by
[TABLE]
assuming that as , , with , and provided the Lévy seed of (see Section 2) has unit variance. in (1) denotes the sample auto-covariance function of at lag . Furthermore, under suitable conditions, the estimator is asymptotically normal with asymptotic variance given by
[TABLE]
for some non-negative constant . In the same work, we proposed to use once again along with a “Riemann sum” approach to estimate the quadratic functionals of appearing in the definition of , e.g. . This procedure has some limitations. First, it relies on a tuning parameter whose choice and finite-sample performance are unclear. Second, the estimation error of is dependent on the behaviour of for large , which could result on a statistic that is very sensitive to the memory of the underlying stochastic process. In this paper, we address these issues by estimating functionals of the type
[TABLE]
where is a continuous non-linear test function, based on the sample .
Main contributions
By slightly modifying the definition of in (1), which we denote by (see (9) below), we derive limit theorems for the functionals
[TABLE]
using a double-asymptotic scheme based on both long-span and high-frequency observations of the underlying trawl process . The function is assumed to be continuous.
Under minimal integrability conditions on and a growth condition on , we provide a functional law of large numbers for . With stronger assumptions on the trawl function, we establish a functional Central Limit Theorem (CLT hereafter)) at the rate , applicable to test functions that are twice continuously differentiable and of polynomial growth. Additionally, in line with [19], we show that this convergence is independent of the memory of . In contrast, the asymptotic behaviour of is more subtle. First, we demonstrate that, in general, is not consistent for unless , as , for some . In the latter situation with , also fulfils a CLT analogous to that of . Secondly, to mitigate the inconsistency of we alter its definition (see equation (13)) following the approach suggested in [19]. The resulting estimator is consistent and satisfies a CLT at rate . However, this modification requires a tuning parameter and its second-order asymptotics are dependent on the memory of the process and the sample scheme. Finally, to illustrate the usefulness of our results, we propose a method for testing the presence of -dependent data using a statistic that is robust to long memory.
Outline of the paper
The remainder of the paper is organised as follows. Section 2 introduces the main mathematical concepts and notation used throughout the paper and recalls the definition and basic properties of trawl processes. Section 3 presents the main results concerning the asymptotics of the functionals and , along with our new test for -dependence. Due to the technical nature of the arguments, most proofs are deferred to Section 4. The paper also contains an appendix where we carry out the computations required to approximate the asymptotic variance appearing in our central limit theorems. The arguments done there are primarily algebraic and technical in nature, and the appendix may therefore be skipped on a first reading.
2. Preliminaries
This part introduces the basic notation and concepts that will be used in this paper. Throughout the following sections denotes a complete probability space. As usual, a function is said to be of class , , if it is -times continuously differentiable. In this case, will denote the th derivative of , with the convention that . Often, we will write instead of . The symmetrization of a function is defined and denoted as .
The symbols and stand, respectively, for convergence in probability and in distribution of random vectors (r.v.’s for short). For a sequence of random vectors defined on , we write if , and if is bounded in probability. For , let be a sequence of càdlàg processes defined on . We will write if converges uniformly on compacts in probability to . Similarly, stands for weak convergence of towards in the Skorokhod topology.
We recall that a real-valued random field on is called a homogeneous Lévy basis if it is an infinitely divisible (ID for short) independently scattered random measure such that
[TABLE]
where and denote the Lebesgue measure on and the Borel sets of with finite Lebesgue measure, respectively. Furthermore,
[TABLE]
with and a Lévy measure, i.e. and does not charge . We will refer to the ID random variable with characteristic triplet as the Lévy seed of , and it will be denoted by . As it is customary, will be called the characteristic triplet of and its characteristic exponent. We will say that * has unit variance* if .
Let be a homogeneous Lévy basis on with characteristic triplet . In addition, we set
[TABLE]
where is a non-increasing, continuous, and integrable function. The process following the dynamics
[TABLE]
where , is called a trawl process. To avoid trivial situations, we will always assume that , or equivalently that is not equal to [math] almost everywhere. From now on, we will allude to and as trawl set and trawl function, respectively. Furthermore, is termed the background driving Lévy basis.
It is well known that is strictly stationary and, in the case when is square integrable, its auto-covariance function is given by
[TABLE]
For a detailed exposition on the basic properties of trawl processes and Lévy bases we refer the reader to [3] and references therein.
3. Estimating non-linear functionals of trawl functions
In what is left of this work, will denote a trawl process with trawl function and whose background driving Lévy basis has unit variance. As discussed in the introduction, our main goal is to estimate the functionals
[TABLE]
when equidistant observations of , say , are available. The sample scheme considered in this work is an in-fill and long-span, i.e.
[TABLE]
To do so, we slightly modify the definition of in (1) as follows:
[TABLE]
for some and where . It is not difficult to see that and are asymptotically equivalent. The estimators for the functionals appearing in (7) are constructed as
[TABLE]
where denotes the integer part of .
3.1. Limit theorems for and
In this part we describe first and second order asymptotics for the estimators introduced in (10). We start by discussing the consistency of these statistics. We recall that a real-valued function is said to be of polynomial growth of order if there is some , such that
[TABLE]
The reader should keep in mind that our sampling scheme satisfies (8) and this is assumed throughout the rest of the paper. Under this set-up we have the following consistency result for .
Theorem 1**.**
Let be a continuous function of polynomial growth of order . Suppose that . Then,
Let us now turn our attention to . To guarantee integrability of the mapping , and hence the well-definedness of , we need to restrict the type of test functions. For a given , , we will write for the family of functions of class satisfying that for and that as and as . For example, the power function , for belongs to with .
Remark 1*.*
Note that if , an induction argument along with the Mean-Value Theorem imply that , as , for all . Thus, in view of the fact is decreasing and bounded by we can find a constant , such that for all
[TABLE]
It follows that the mappings are continuous, bounded, and integrable for . In particular, is well-defined for every .
Theorem 2**.**
Let with and assume that . Then, as ,
The previous result does not cover the quadratic case, i.e. when . This is because in this situation might be biased, as the following result shows.
Theorem 3**.**
Let and assume that . Then, as ,
To deal with the previous situation, we proceed as in [19] and modify as follows: We introduce a tuning parameter , , such that
[TABLE]
We set
[TABLE]
The sequence of processes , unlike , is consistent in the quadratic case. More precisely:
Theorem 4**.**
Consider as in (12). Let and assume that . Then for all , , as
We now discuss second-order asymptotics for our statistics. As usual, this requires stronger assumptions. We essentially follow the set-up of [19].
Assumption 1*.*
The sampling scheme satisfies that as . Furthermore, the trawl function admits the representation , for , where is a strictly positive càdlàg function such that as for some .
Before presenting the Central Limit Theorems for , and let us introduce some functions that will serve to describe their asymptotic variance. For and , we put
[TABLE]
Theorem 5**.**
Let Assumption 1 hold. If is of class with being of polynomial growth of order , and for some , then as ,
[TABLE]
where is a centred Gaussian process with
[TABLE]
in which
[TABLE]
with and the symmetrizations (see Section 2) of and , respectively.
The second order asymptotics for the functionals and will be much alike to those presented in the previous theorem. However, we need to impose certain restrictions on the window to control the discretization error associated with , as well as the memory of . Specifically, we assume that:
Assumption 2*.*
There are , and , such that is bounded from above and below, and , as .
The CLT for the functionals and reads as follows.
Theorem 6**.**
Let Assumption 1 hold. Suppose that for some , , and that . Then the following holds:
If , then as
[TABLE]
where is a centred Gaussian process with
[TABLE]
with as in (14). 2. 2.
If in addition Assumption 2 is satisfied with
[TABLE]
and arbitrary, then (15) also holds if we replace by .
Remark 2*.*
The following remarks are in order:
Let be as in Theorems 5 and 6. From Remark 1, it follows that for every
[TABLE]
Therefore, by Kolmogorov’s criterion, we deduce that has -Hölder continuous paths for every 2. 2.
We are able to show that in the limiting case – recall that when , in general, is not consistent – the sequence is tight on but we were not able to identify its limit. However, we believe that, just as in the case , the limit process is Gaussian but no longer centred. 3. 3.
The lower bound in (16), which depends on the memory of , prevents the tail from dominating the asymptotics. Thus, unlike Theorem 5 and the first part of Theorem 6, the CLT for is no longer robust to long memory.
3.2. A test for -dependent trawls
In this part we briefly illustrate how our results can be used to test for -dependence in a non-parametric framework. We recall that a stochastic process is said to be -dependent, with , if for a given , the processes and are independent (in the sense of finite-dimensional distributions). We have the following characterization of -dependence for trawl processes.
Proposition 1**.**
Let be a trawl process. Then, unless is deterministic, is -dependent if, and only if, for all , .
Proof.
Since is an infinitely divisible process, -dependence is equivalent to the condition that, for a given , and are independent for all and (see, for instance, Exercise E 12.9 in [18]). Furthermore, by stationarity, the former condition is equivalent to the independence of and for all . Now note that, in view of (2) and the independently scattered property of , the characteristic exponent of the vector is equal to
[TABLE]
Consequently, and are independent if, and only if,
[TABLE]
Thus, if , for all , the previous relation is trivially fulfilled. Reciprocally, if (17) is satisfied for all , then either or for all . If the latter holds, we would have that is continuous and additive, so linear (c.f. Cauchy’s functional equation) which is the case only when is deterministic. ∎
The preceding result shows that, under our set-up, is -dependent if, and only if, . Note that this condition is in turn equivalent to and thus one can use the sample autocovariance function to test -dependence of . However, it is well known that such a statistic is heavily dependent on the memory of the process. See for instance [6, 7, 11, 23]. To avoid this problem, we propose to use another characterization of -dependence for trawl processes, namely
[TABLE]
which follows from the fact that is non-negative and non-increasing. Therefore, under the null hypothesis of -dependence, we deduce, since , that
[TABLE]
where . Based on the previous discussion, we propose to use the statistic
[TABLE]
to test the hypothesis (18). The asymptotic behaviour of is described in the following result.
Corollary 1**.**
Let Assumption 1 hold and assume that for some . Then,
[TABLE]
Proof.
Plainly, , with . Thus, if (18) is satisfied, Theorem 6 implies that , where is a centred Gaussian random variable with variance
[TABLE]
thanks to (18). This shows the first part of (19). In contrast, if (18) does not hold then necessarily . Theorem 2 now gives , from which the second part of (19) follows. ∎
The previous result shows that, unlike the sample autocovariance function, the limiting behaviour of under the alternative of no -dependence is independent of the memory of the process. Consequently, large values of indicate that the data is unlikely to be -dependent.
Remark 3*.*
As pointed out in Remark 2, our proposed statistic for testing (18) is robust to the memory of . Moreover, in this setting has a smaller estimation error. However, it still suffers from some weaknesses. First, to rigorously use for testing -dependence, a CLT under the null hypothesis (18) is required. Second, it remains to be seen how sensitive is in finite samples for different values of . These issues require additional analysis, which we postpone to future research.
4. Proofs
The proofs are organised in three parts. We first derive a collection of preliminary estimates and decompositions for the estimator , which provide the basic tools used throughout the section. We then use these ingredients to prove the consistency results and to analyse the behaviour of in the quadratic case. Finally, for our central limit theorems, we use the decompositions obtained in the first part to isolate the leading term, show that all remainder terms are asymptotically negligible, and reduce the problem to a martingale central limit theorem. The technical computations required to approximate the asymptotic variance are deferred to the appendix. As mentioned in the introduction, the appendix may be skipped on a first reading.
Throughout this section, non-random positive constants are denoted by the generic symbol , which may change from line to line. We write whenever where depends only on the parameter . For with , define
[TABLE]
where with the convention that . Note that for all
[TABLE]
Using these sets, we introduce the filtrations:
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
In the remainder of this section we set , the characteristic triplet of , and use the notation as well as , for
4.1. Preliminary estimates and decompositions
In this part we derive some estimates and establish some fundamental decompositions that will be used in a later stage. We also introduce a number of auxiliary random variables and processes.
The following estimate for the moments of a homogeneous Lévy basis will play a key role in our analysis. For a proof see [15] and [24] (Corollary 1.2.7).
Lemma 1**.**
Let be a centred homogeneous Lévy basis with characteristic triplet with for . Then
[TABLE]
where only depends on and . Furthermore
[TABLE]
Moreover, if , then
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Next, we observe that the estimation error admits the decomposition
[TABLE]
where, and
[TABLE]
in which and . To analyse this error, we introduce several auxiliary random variables based on the Lévy basis . Let , define
[TABLE]
and set
[TABLE]
Using these random variables, we obtain the decomposition
[TABLE]
Moreover, by using that
[TABLE]
we further have
[TABLE]
where and in which
[TABLE]
as well as
[TABLE]
The following -moments estimates were proven in [19].
Lemma 2**.**
Let and suppose that . Then,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
With the previous estimates at hand we obtain the subsequent bounds.
Lemma 3**.**
Let be as in (26) and assume that for some . Then,
[TABLE]
where is a constant only depending on , , and .
Proof.
Without loss of generality assume that (and hence ) has mean [math]. Define
[TABLE]
It suffices to show that is bounded uniformly in and . By (30) and (31) we get that
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Note that for every , , , and are martingale differences with respect to , and , respectively. Hence Rosenthal’s inequality (see e.g. Theorem 2.12 in [8]) yields
[TABLE]
Using the stationarity of , Jensen’s inequality, and (24) we obtain that
[TABLE]
Similarly, we deduce that
[TABLE]
For , a further application of Rosenthal’s inequality results in
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Lemma 2 gives
[TABLE]
Thus, we are left to bound . From Lemma 3 in [19] and (24) we get that
[TABLE]
where . This, together with (24), and Jensen’s inequality shows that is uniformly bounded. Now, if a double application of the Rosenthal’s inequality yields
[TABLE]
Each term on the right-hand side can be shown to be bounded exactly as above. Finally, if we use the inequality along with the von Bahr-Esseen inequality (see [14, 9.3.b]) to deduce that
[TABLE]
and the expression above is uniformly bounded due to (24). ∎
We conclude this part with an estimate that will provide a way to control the approximation error in our statistics.
Lemma 4**.**
Let and set
[TABLE]
Suppose that and that Then,
[TABLE]
If Assumption 1 holds, we further have that
[TABLE]
Proof.
From (25)
[TABLE]
By Lemma 3
[TABLE]
Using the stationarity of we also obtain
[TABLE]
Furthermore, by Jensen’s inequality and the monotonicity of , we deduce that the last summand in (40) is bounded by
[TABLE]
Moreover, since is integrable and of bounded variation, it holds that as (see the proof of Lemma 5.4 in [17]). Consequently
[TABLE]
In view that
[TABLE]
relation (38)follows. Finally, if Assumption 1 is satisfied then there is such that
[TABLE]
Thus, the estimate in (41) can be replaced by
[TABLE]
which gives (39).∎
4.2. Proof of Theorems 1 - 4
We start by showing the consistency of . The proof follows the idea of the proof of Theorem 9.4.1 in [12]. For the rest of this section is fixed and choose large enough such that
Proof of Theorem 1.
Without loss assume that (otherwise analyze and separately). Thus, we only need to check that for every , . Suppose first that is bounded. Then
[TABLE]
Theorem 1 in [19] along with the boundedness of allow us to apply the Dominated Convergence twice to conclude that the right-hand side of the previous inequality goes to [math] as . Suppose now that is of polynomial growth of order (when is bounded). Let be a function of class such that , and for every , set as well as Write
[TABLE]
where and . Since is continuous and bounded, the first part of the proof gives that . In view that as , we are left to show that for every
[TABLE]
Since has polynomial growth, it holds that . Hence, (43) follows if
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
From (25)
[TABLE]
Denote by and the last two terms. As in the proof of Lemma 4, . Thus,
[TABLE]
Moreover, Lemma 3 and Jensen’s inequality guarantee that
[TABLE]
By Markov’s inequality
[TABLE]
Using (25) together with Lemma 3, we obtain that is bounded uniformly in and . Therefore,
[TABLE]
Relation (44) now follows from (45), Markov’s inequality, and the previous estimate.∎
Our next goal is to unify the proof of Theorems 2 and 4. To this end, we write and to denote any of the pairs , , or . With this notation,
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
If , the Mean Value Theorem yields
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
for some , and
[TABLE]
Hence Theorems 2 and 4 follow once the processes and are shown to be asymptotically negligible. In what follows we write or , depending on whether or , respectively.
Proof of Theorems 2 and 4.
Let with and recall the decomposition (48). From the definition of we get
[TABLE]
Since is continuous and satisfies , (see (11)), we have that, uniformly on ,
[TABLE]
Similarly, we deduce
[TABLE]
where in the last inequality we further used (41). Hence . Let us now turn our attention to . Since , we obtain
[TABLE]
Applying Lemma 4 yields
[TABLE]
If and (as in Theorem 2), the right-hand side of the previous estimate converges to zero. If and satisfies (12) (as in Theorem 4), the bound in (52) becomes , which also converges to zero by assumption. Thus and are asymptotically negligible, completing the proof.∎
We conclude this section by presenting a proof for Theorem 3.
Proof of Theorem 3.
Arguing as in the preceding proof, we have that
[TABLE]
where . Let
[TABLE]
Arguing exactly as in the proof of Lemma 4, we have that
[TABLE]
Thus, by setting and applying the reverse triangle inequality we deduce that
[TABLE]
Therefore, it suffices to prove that . Now, using the random variables introduced in (33) and (32), we set
[TABLE]
where , and let
[TABLE]
By (32), (63) in Appendix A, and the definition of , we get that . This shows, just as above, that and have the limit (and therefore the same limit as ). Arguing as in Lemma 7 in Appendix A, we conclude that
[TABLE]
The stated convergence now follows by invoking once again (63) in Appendix A.∎
4.3. Proof of Theorems 5 and 6
We begin by outlining the proof of the central limit theorems. Starting from a decomposition of the estimation error into a leading term and several remainder terms, we first show that the remainder terms are asymptotically negligible. The leading term is then rewritten as a sum of martingale differences plus a negligible error term. The proof proceeds by establishing tightness, reducing the convergence of the finite-dimensional to a martingale central limit theorem via the Cramér–Wold device, and verifying the convergence of the conditional variance and the Lyapunov condition.
Similarly to the previous subsection, fix and choose large enough such that , where, as before or , depending whether or , respectively.
Once again, we unify the proofs by means of (46). Specifically, for , define
[TABLE]
Then
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
is the leading term, and the remainder terms are given by
[TABLE]
The next lemma shows that, under our assumptions, all remainder terms are asymptotically negligible and the asymptotic behaviour is therefore determined by .
Lemma 5**.**
Under the assumptions of Theorems 5 and 6, for .
Proof.
We treat the terms separately.
Case . That is negligible when follows exactly as in the proof of Theorems 2 and 4 by replacing with in (52). Now, if and either or , the same argument yields that, uniformly on ,
[TABLE]
Since is bounded, we have that whenever , or and . When , Assumption 2 together with (16) implies that . Indeed, if the claim is obvious. If , we obtain that
[TABLE]
which again implies .
Case . Let when and otherwise. Using (42), we get that
[TABLE]
Since and is bounded (being càdlàg and vanishing at ), it suffices to show that is bounded over . If this is immediate from the continuity of . If and , Remark 1 implies that
[TABLE]
just as required.
Case . Since , as ,
[TABLE]
due to (55).
Case . Using the same arguments as above for along with the the stationarity of , we obtain
Case . We first consider the case . Since and is Lipschitz (thanks to Assumption 1), we deduce as in (55)
[TABLE]
Assume now and let . Then,
[TABLE]
by the Mean-Value Theorem, the Lipschitz property of , and the fact that as . Furthermore, from (11) we also have that . Thus,
[TABLE]
Using this, Assumption 1, and (55) we obtain that, uniformly on ,
[TABLE]
Therefore, if , we have because . If instead , Assumption 2 and (16), again imply
[TABLE]
due to the fact that This concludes the proof.∎
The next step is to write , defined in (53), as a sum of martingale differences plus an error term. Once this is achieved, the proof of Theorems 5 and 6 will follow as an application of, for instance, Theorem 6.1 in [9] (c.f. Theorem IX 7.19 in [13]). To do this, we use the decomposition (32) and write
[TABLE]
where (see (47))
[TABLE]
Note that is -measurable (see (23)) and, by construction, , so forms a martingale difference sequence with respect to . The next lemma shows that is asymptotically negligible.
Lemma 6**.**
Under the assumptions of Theorems 5 and 6, .
Proof.
As before, we may assume without loss of generality that has mean zero. Since each (see (34)) is a martingale difference, we only need to show that for
[TABLE]
To see this, first note that the quantity is uniformly bounded. Indeed, if , the continuity of and implies
[TABLE]
If instead or and , the same bound follows from (55). Hence, by Jensen’s inequality,
[TABLE]
Moreover, Lemma 1 yields
[TABLE]
Therefore,
[TABLE]
and, by the Dominated Convergence Theorem,
[TABLE]
as required. ∎
We are now ready to prove the CLTs for our statistics. In view of the previous two lemmas and the definition of (see (26)), we may and do assume that has mean [math]. Using the decomposition , the proof reduces to applying a martingale central limit theorem to the leading term .
Proof of Theorems 5 and 6.
We remind the reader that and denote any of the pairs , , or . Recall also the decomposition
[TABLE]
By Lemma 5 and Remark 2, it is enough to show that in , where is the limit process stated in the theorems. We proceed in three steps. First we establish tightness of . Next we identify the finite-dimensional limits using the Cramér-Wold device. Finally we verify the martingale CLT conditions.
Step 1: Tightness. From Lemma 3, we deduce that for all
[TABLE]
Therefore, by Theorem 13.5 and equation (13.14) in [5], the sequence is tight on .
Step 2: Cramér-Wold reduction. Fix , , and . By Lemma 6, convergence of the finite-dimensional distributions of towards those of reduces to showing , with as in (56). Define
[TABLE]
in which (see (33)). Then
[TABLE]
Since is a -martingale difference (see our discussion before Lemma 6), the CLT of Theorem 6.1 in [9] (c.f. Theorem IX 7.19 in [13]) applies provided that for some
[TABLE]
Step 3: Verification of (58) and (59).
Asymptotic Variance: In Lemmas 7 and 8 in Appendix A, it is shown that
[TABLE]
where are bounded functions vanishing outside and satisfying
[TABLE]
Thus, if , the continuity of immediately yields
[TABLE]
which coincides with (58). If instead or
[TABLE]
Hence, to achieve (58), it suffices to justify the use of the generalized dominated convergence theorem. To see this is the case, observe that from (11) we have that
[TABLE]
and the right-hand side of this converges pointwise to and is bounded. Hence the generalized dominated convergence applies.
*Lyapunov’s condition: * Arguing as in the proof of Lemma 6, the quantity is uniformly bounded. Choose . Then Jensen’s inequality, Lemma 2, and Assumption 1 imply that
[TABLE]
Hence, condition (59) holds concluding this the proof. ∎
\appendixpage
Appendix A Approximations of the Asymptotic Variance
In this subsection we justify the approximation (60). Throughout the analysis we repeatedly use the moment estimates and identities from Lemma 1, as well as the fact that the variance of a sum of martingale differences equals the sum of the individual variances. To avoid unnecessary repetition, these arguments will not be explicitly referenced each time they are applied. Recall that or , depending on whether or .
Lemma 7**.**
Let with as in (57). Under the assumptions of Theorems 5 and 6, it holds that
[TABLE]
Proof.
Plainly
[TABLE]
By the independent scattered property of we have that
[TABLE]
where . Furthermore,
[TABLE]
as well as
[TABLE]
We now separately analyse the terms
[TABLE]
We repeatedly use that is uniformly bounded, as shown in the proof of Lemma 6. Our aim is to verify that
[TABLE]
where can be written as
[TABLE]
and each summand satisfies either
[TABLE]
uniformly on , or
[TABLE]
for some constant . These bounds are sufficient for our purposes. Indeed, by Jensen’s inequality
[TABLE]
Therefore, for all , either
[TABLE]
or
[TABLE]
In the latter case, as
If by the continuity of
[TABLE] 2. 2.
Otherwise, arguing as in (55), we deduce that
[TABLE]
thanks to Assumption 1 and (12).
Therefore, in any situation, it holds that , as , which is exactly the conclusion of this lemma. In what is left of the proof, for each we identify a decomposition of the form (67). Then, we verify that the corresponding summands satisfy either (68) or (69).
For convenience, when we refer to as the conditional variance, and otherwise as the conditional covariance. We also stress that the notation will be reused from case to case: only the decomposition is common, while the precise definition of depends on the term under consideration.
Conditional Variances
Set and write
[TABLE]
Since the sequence is -dependent and it holds that
[TABLE]
Hence, The same argument applies to . Moreover, since is -dependent, the same bound also holds for . This is exactly (69).
By interchanging the order of summation we may write
[TABLE]
Thus, (67) holds with
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Note that and . Hence,
[TABLE]
Furthermore
[TABLE]
where in the last inequality we also applied Assumption 1. The same bound holds for . In view that and are martingale differences, it follows that
[TABLE]
Therefore (68) is satisfied with
By symmetry we may write
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Using
[TABLE]
and reordering the sums yields the decomposition , in which
[TABLE]
It remains to verify that each satisfies (69). We only focus on and since the other terms can be analysed in the same way. Set . Then,
[TABLE]
By Lemma 1,
[TABLE]
and . Hence,
[TABLE]
Plainly,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
where in the second inequality we also used (21). This shows that satisfies (69). Similarly, arguments give that
[TABLE]
Recall that . Arguing as above we may write
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
wherein we have let
[TABLE]
In this case we show that (68) holds with By construction is -measurable and independent of , reason why each is a sum of martingale differences. This, along with the fact that imply that
[TABLE]
We now can follow the same arguments as in the case .
Conditional Covariances
By symmetry, we only need to focus on for and .
Set
[TABLE]
Since
[TABLE]
we conclude, as in previous cases, that satisfies (68). The second term requires a separate argument. Decompose , where
[TABLE]
Arguing as in the proof of Lemma 3 in [19] (specifically the analysis done for under the notation introduced in that paper) we conclude that satisfy (69) and that
[TABLE]
With (73) in place of (69), the same argument yields , as .
By applying (70), we obtain that (67) holds with
[TABLE]
where . As in the case , one deduces that satisfies (69). Assume without loss of generality that , and put
[TABLE]
Then , where , and for
[TABLE]
Note that are -uncorrelated. Furthermore, by Rosenthal’s inequality, Lemma 1, and the bound
[TABLE]
we obtain
[TABLE]
Likewise, . Consequently, arguing as in the case , we conclude that fulfils (69).
We start by noting that (67) is satisfied with
[TABLE]
Using (72) and , it follows that . Next, decompose , where
[TABLE]
By setting
[TABLE]
we can further decompose , where
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
As in the previous case, are -correlated and , reason why . It remains to treat . By the Cauchy-Swarchz inequality and the fact that we deduce that
[TABLE]
Thus, satisfies (73), which, as explained above, suffices.
Another application of (70) yields
[TABLE]
where . Once again, each is a sum of martingale differences. By reasoning as in the proof of Lemma 3 in [19] (see the treatment of ), the second moment of each summand in is . Hence, satisfies (68), for every .
Using (71), we have
[TABLE]
Assume and note that for , it holds
[TABLE]
Then , where
[TABLE]
with
[TABLE]
The same line of arguments used in the cases and , result in , for . Next, note that is once again a sum of martingale differences. For , using independence of and for fixed , we deduce
[TABLE]
After changing the order of summations, we get that
[TABLE]
Using this we conclude that
[TABLE]
The case follows analogously.
This case follows from by swapping and and replacing with . Hence, (67) holds and each satisfies (68).
∎
In the proof of the next lemma we will often use the following local approximation of :
[TABLE]
Clearly, and uniformly on compacts, thanks to Assumption 1. We recall the reader that , .
Lemma 8**.**
Let Assumptions of Theorems 5 and 6 hold. Then, for all
[TABLE]
uniformly on , where is a sequence of bounded functions such that for all , as . Moreover,
[TABLE]
where as in (14).
Proof.
As in the proof of Lemma 7, we analyse case by case. In view of , it is enough to consider . Furthermore, for each pair , we construct a function such that (75) holds. We extend by zero outside . Unless stated otherwise, all error terms are uniform in .
Using (63) and Lemma 1, we get that
[TABLE]
Thus,
[TABLE]
where for
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Since , is bounded. Moreover,
[TABLE]
Just as above we get that
[TABLE]
Thus, (75) holds with
[TABLE]
Furthermore, by the DCT
[TABLE]
In this situation we have due to (63) that
[TABLE]
For , set , and let . Then the inner sum in (78) equals
[TABLE]
Hence, where
[TABLE]
Invoking again the inequality , we obtain that and just as for we also get
[TABLE]
Using (63) and making a change of variable, we obtain
[TABLE]
As a result, (75) is satisfied with
[TABLE]
In addition,
[TABLE]
thanks to the DCT.
In this case we use relation (64) to get that
[TABLE]
But
[TABLE]
Hence, where
[TABLE]
The bound yields boundedness of . For fixed , we further have
[TABLE]
Consequently, as
[TABLE]
by the DCT.
Exactly as above
[TABLE]
Write
[TABLE]
where and correspond to the cases and , respectively. where
[TABLE]
Simple algebraic manipulations result in
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Hence, (75) holds with equal to
[TABLE]
In addition,
[TABLE]
once again by the DCT.
We start by noting that from Lemma 1
[TABLE]
Thus,
[TABLE]
Therefore, in this case we have that
[TABLE]
Since,
[TABLE]
we conclude that for
[TABLE]
Therefore, (75) is fulfilled, with
[TABLE]
Finally, as above, we obtain
[TABLE]
Plainly
[TABLE]
Rearranging the sums yields
[TABLE]
This mean that (75) is fulfilled with
[TABLE]
satisfying
[TABLE]
From (65),
[TABLE]
where as in (71). Moreover,
[TABLE]
Therefore, in this situation we may choose as
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Finally, for all , and
[TABLE]
Therefore, .
We are left to show that (76) holds. Using the relation and the first part of the proof, we obtain
[TABLE]
Using the explicit expressions obtained above gives that
[TABLE]
as well as
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Plugging in the previous equations into (79) completes the proof.∎
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