Conditional Normalizing Flow Surrogate for Monte Carlo Prediction of Radiative Properties in Nanoparticle-Embedded Layers
Fahime Seyedheydari, Kevin Conley, and Simo S\"arkk\"a

TL;DR
This paper introduces a probabilistic surrogate model based on conditional normalizing flows for predicting radiative properties in nanoparticle media, providing accurate predictions with uncertainty quantification, trained on Monte Carlo simulation data.
Contribution
The paper develops a novel conditional normalizing flow model that predicts optical properties and their distributions, outperforming traditional neural networks in uncertainty quantification.
Findings
High predictive accuracy achieved
Reliable uncertainty estimates provided
Efficient surrogate for radiative transfer simulations
Abstract
We present a probabilistic, data-driven surrogate model for predicting the radiative properties of nanoparticle embedded scattering media. The model uses conditional normalizing flows, which learn the conditional distribution of optical outputs, including reflectance, absorbance, and transmittance, given input parameters such as the absorption coefficient, scattering coefficient, anisotropy factor, and particle size distribution. We generate training data using Monte Carlo radiative transfer simulations, with optical properties derived from Mie theory. Unlike conventional neural networks, the conditional normalizing flow model yields full posterior predictive distributions, enabling both accurate forecasts and principled uncertainty quantification. Our results demonstrate that this model achieves high predictive accuracy and reliable uncertainty estimates, establishing it as a powerful…
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