COVID19 Prediction Based On CT Scans Of Lungs Using DenseNet Architecture

TL;DR

This paper presents a machine learning approach using DenseNet architecture to analyze lung CT scans for predicting COVID-19 severity, aiding clinical decision-making during the pandemic.

Contribution

It introduces a DenseNet-based neural network model specifically designed for assessing COVID-19 severity from lung CT scans.

Findings

Model achieves high accuracy in severity prediction

Effective differentiation between promising and unfavorable cases

Potential to assist in resource allocation and treatment planning

Abstract

COVID19 took the world by storm since December 2019. A highly infectious communicable disease, COVID19 is caused by the SARSCoV2 virus. By March 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared COVID19 as a global pandemic. A pandemic in the 21st century after almost 100 years was something the world was not prepared for, which resulted in the deaths of around 1.6 million people worldwide. The most common symptoms of COVID19 were associated with the respiratory system and resembled a cold, flu, or pneumonia. After extensive research, doctors and scientists concluded that the main reason for lives being lost due to COVID19 was failure of the respiratory system. Patients were dying gasping for breath. Top healthcare systems of the world were failing badly as there was an acute shortage of hospital beds, oxygen cylinders, and ventilators. Many were dying without receiving any treatment at all. The aim of this project is to help doctors decide the severity of COVID19 by reading the patient's Computed Tomography (CT) scans of the lungs. Computer models are less prone to human error, and Machine Learning or Neural Network models tend to give better accuracy as training improves over time. We have decided to use a Convolutional Neural Network model. Given that a patient tests positive, our model will analyze the severity of COVID19 infection within one month of the positive test result. The severity of the infection may be promising or unfavorable (if it leads to intubation or death), based entirely on the CT scans in the dataset.