Thermospheric Density, Composition, and Temperature from GOES-R/SUVI Solar Occultations

TL;DR

This paper introduces a new dataset of thermospheric density, composition, and temperature profiles derived from GOES-R/SUVI solar occultation measurements, enabling improved space weather monitoring and model validation.

Contribution

It presents a novel method for deriving thermospheric profiles from EUV solar occultation images and assesses measurement uncertainties and model comparisons.

Findings

Uncertainty at 250 km: 8% for O, 17% for N2, 3% for temperature.

Good agreement with MSIS model at dusk, discrepancies at dawn.

Dataset available in real-time for space weather applications.

Abstract

A new dataset of atomic oxygen and molecular nitrogen number density profiles, along with thermospheric temperature profiles between 180 and 500 km, has been developed. These profiles are derived from solar occultation measurements made by SUVI on the GOES-R satellites, using the 17.1, 19.5, and 30.4 nm channels. Discussed is the novel approach and methods for using EUV solar occultation images to measuring the thermospheric state. Measurement uncertainties are presented as a function of tangent altitude. At 250 km, number density random uncertainties are found to be 8% and 17% for O and N2, respectively, and the random uncertainty for neutral temperature at 250 km was found to be 3%. The impact of effective cross section uncertainty on retrieval bias was assessed, revealing that, as expected, the largest effects occur where O and N2 are minor absorbers. In contrast, total mass density and O/N2 ratios exhibit substantially lower sensitivity, with biases that remain small or nearly constant with altitude. Total mass density comparisons with the MSIS model show good agreement at the dusk terminator, with an average difference of -2%, but larger discrepancies at dawn, with an average difference of -26%. These discrepancies are more prominent during quiet solar conditions, suggesting an overestimation of densities by MSIS during these conditions. Density comparisons with the IDEA and Dragster assimilative models show dawn/dusk percent differences of -24%/-2% and +2%/+13%, respectively. The dataset is available through the NOAA GOES-R L2 pipeline for eclipse seasons from Sept. 2018 onward and is expected to continue through 2035. As this measurement relies only on real-time NOAA space weather SUVI images, these profiles could be produced in real-time, supporting critical space weather monitoring and prediction, and filling in a current measurement gap of thermospheric temperature and density.