Causal Interventions Beyond Time: A CP-do(C)-Calculus for Indefinite Quantum Order
Jordi Vallverdu

TL;DR
This paper extends causal inference rules to quantum systems with entanglement, revealing limitations in classical causal assumptions when applied to indefinite causal order quantum processes, exemplified by a quantum switch circuit.
Contribution
It introduces a CP-do(C)-calculus that unifies causal modeling across classical, definite, and indefinite quantum causal regimes, and shows Rule 2's failure in indefinite causal order.
Findings
Rule 2 of do-calculus fails with indefinite causal order
Demonstration using a three-qubit quantum switch circuit
Provides a unified causal modeling framework for classical and quantum regimes
Abstract
We reformulate Pearl's three rules of do-calculus in the language of completely positive (CP) trace-preserving maps, thereby extending them to quantum systems with entanglement. We prove that Rule~2 fails whenever the underlying process admits indefinite causal order, and we demonstrate this failure in a three-qubit ``quantum switch'' circuit. Our analysis clarifies why the classical notions of surgical intervention, faithfulness, and counterfactual dependence must be revised in quantum information science. The CP-do()-calculus introduced here provides a common syntax for causal modelling across classical, definite-order quantum, and indefinite-order quantum regimes.
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