Accept-Reject Lasso

TL;DR

The paper introduces Accept-Reject Lasso (ARL), a novel method that improves feature selection stability in highly correlated data by distinguishing true from spurious correlations through subset analysis.

Contribution

ARL is the first approach to simultaneously address both false negatives and false positives in correlated feature selection using a subset-based accept-reject framework.

Findings

ARL effectively differentiates true and spurious correlations.

ARL improves feature selection stability in simulations.

ARL demonstrates superior performance on real datasets.

Abstract

The Lasso method is known to exhibit instability in the presence of highly correlated features, often leading to an arbitrary selection of predictors. This issue manifests itself in two primary error types: the erroneous omission of features that lack a true substitutable relationship (falsely redundant features) and the inclusion of features with a true substitutable relationship (truly redundant features). Although most existing methods address only one of these challenges, we introduce the Accept-Reject Lasso (ARL), a novel approach that resolves this dilemma. ARL operationalizes an Accept-Reject framework through a fine-grained analysis of feature selection across data subsets. This framework is designed to partition the output of an ensemble method into beneficial and detrimental components through fine-grained analysis. The fundamental challenge for Lasso is that inter-variable correlation obscures the true sources of information. ARL tackles this by first using clustering to identify distinct subset structures within the data. It then analyzes Lasso's behavior across these subsets to differentiate between true and spurious correlations. For truly correlated features, which induce multicollinearity, ARL tends to select a single representative feature and reject the rest to ensure model stability. Conversely, for features linked by spurious correlations, which may vanish in certain subsets, ARL accepts those that Lasso might have incorrectly omitted. The distinct patterns arising from true versus spurious correlations create a divisible separation. By setting an appropriate threshold, our framework can effectively distinguish between these two phenomena, thereby maximizing the inclusion of informative variables while minimizing the introduction of detrimental ones. We illustrate the efficacy of the proposed method through extensive simulation and real-data experiments.