Expanding the Standard Diffusion Process to Specified Non-Gaussian Marginal Distributions
Robert Richardson, H. Dennis Tolley, Kenneth Kuttler

TL;DR
This paper introduces a flexible class of non-Gaussian diffusion processes that can model arbitrary marginal distributions, extending classical SDEs with rigorous theoretical foundations and practical simulation methods.
Contribution
It develops a copula-based transformation framework to construct non-Gaussian diffusion processes with prescribed marginals, including proofs of existence, uniqueness, and error bounds.
Findings
Models accurately recover target non-Gaussian marginals
Framework effectively models skewness and heavy tails
Simulations validate theoretical properties
Abstract
We develop a class of non-Gaussian translation processes that extend classical stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by prescribing arbitrary absolutely continuous marginal distributions. Our approach uses a copula-based transformation to flexibly model skewness, heavy tails, and other non-Gaussian features often observed in real data. We rigorously define the process, establish key probabilistic properties, and construct a corresponding diffusion model via stochastic calculus, including proofs of existence and uniqueness. A simplified approximation is introduced and analyzed, with error bounds derived from asymptotic expansions. Simulations demonstrate that both the full and simplified models recover target marginals with high accuracy. Examples using the Student's t, asymmetric Laplace, and Exponentialized Generalized Beta of the Second Kind (EGB2) distributions illustrate the…
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Statistical Methods and Inference
