A Framework for Nonstationary Gaussian Processes with Neural Network Parameters
Zachary James, Joseph Guinness

TL;DR
This paper introduces a flexible framework for nonstationary Gaussian processes where kernel parameters vary across the feature space and are modeled by neural networks, improving accuracy and interpretability on various datasets.
Contribution
The paper proposes a novel joint training approach for nonstationary Gaussian processes with neural network parameterization, enhancing model flexibility and scalability.
Findings
Achieves better accuracy and log-score than stationary and hierarchical models.
Effectively recovers nonstationary parameters in spatial datasets.
Compatible with large-scale approximation methods.
Abstract
Gaussian processes have become a popular tool for nonparametric regression because of their flexibility and uncertainty quantification. However, they often use stationary kernels, which limit the expressiveness of the model and may be unsuitable for many datasets. We propose a framework that uses nonstationary kernels whose parameters vary across the feature space, modeling these parameters as the output of a neural network that takes the features as input. The neural network and Gaussian process are trained jointly using the chain rule to calculate derivatives. Our method clearly describes the behavior of the nonstationary parameters and is compatible with approximation methods for scaling to large datasets. It is flexible and easily adapts to different nonstationary kernels without needing to redesign the optimization procedure. Our methods are implemented with the GPyTorch library…
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Taxonomy
TopicsGaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference · Neural Networks and Applications · Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
