Probabilistic Human Intent Prediction for Mobile Manipulation: An Evaluation with Human-Inspired Constraints

TL;DR

This paper introduces GUIDER, a probabilistic framework for real-time human intent prediction in mobile manipulation, improving accuracy and early recognition without predefined goals, validated through extensive simulation trials.

Contribution

The paper presents GUIDER, a novel dual-phase probabilistic framework that integrates navigation and manipulation intent estimation for robots, enhancing inference accuracy and early detection.

Findings

Achieved 93-100% stability in navigation intent prediction.

Recognized object intent three times earlier than previous methods.

Improved intent inference accuracy by around 39.5% in redirection scenarios.

Abstract

Accurate inference of human intent enables human-robot collaboration without constraining human control or causing conflicts between humans and robots. We present GUIDER (Global User Intent Dual-phase Estimation for Robots), a probabilistic framework that enables a robot to estimate the intent of human operators. GUIDER maintains two coupled belief layers, one tracking navigation goals and the other manipulation goals. In the Navigation phase, a Synergy Map blends controller velocity with an occupancy grid to rank interaction areas. Upon arrival at a goal, an autonomous multi-view scan builds a local 3D cloud. The Manipulation phase combines U2Net saliency, FastSAM instance saliency, and three geometric grasp-feasibility tests, with an end-effector kinematics-aware update rule that evolves object probabilities in real-time. GUIDER can recognize areas and objects of intent without predefined goals. We evaluated GUIDER on 25 trials (five participants x five task variants) in Isaac Sim, and compared it with two baselines, one for navigation and one for manipulation. Across the 25 trials, GUIDER achieved a median stability of 93-100% during navigation, compared with 60-100% for the BOIR baseline, with an improvement of 39.5% in a redirection scenario (T5). During manipulation, stability reached 94-100% (versus 69-100% for Trajectron), with a 31.4% difference in a redirection task (T3). In geometry-constrained trials (manipulation), GUIDER recognized the object intent three times earlier than Trajectron (median remaining time to confident prediction 23.6 s vs 7.8 s). These results validate our dual-phase framework and show improvements in intent inference in both phases of mobile manipulation tasks.