Guided filtering and smoothing for infinite-dimensional diffusions
Thorben Pieper-Sethmacher, Daniele Avitabile, Frank van der Meulen

TL;DR
This paper introduces a novel approach for filtering and smoothing in infinite-dimensional diffusion processes using guided distributions, enhancing Monte Carlo methods and including parameter estimation, demonstrated through a stochastic Amari equation case study.
Contribution
The paper develops a new guided distribution framework for infinite-dimensional diffusions, improving filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation techniques.
Findings
Effective proposal measure for Monte Carlo schemes
Enhanced filtering and smoothing accuracy
Successful application to stochastic Amari equation
Abstract
We consider the filtering and smoothing problems for an infinite-dimensional diffusion process X, observed through a finite-dimensional representation at discrete points in time. At the heart of our proposed methodology lies the construction of a path measure, termed the guided distribution of X, that is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of X, conditioned on the observations. We show that this distribution can be incorporated as a potent proposal measure for both sequential Monte Carlo as well as Markov Chain Monte Carlo schemes to tackle the filtering and smoothing problems respectively. In the offline setting, we extend our approach to incorporate parameter estimation of unknown model parameters. The proposed methodology is numerically illustrated in a case study for the stochastic Amari equation.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods · Probability and Risk Models
