Predictive Risk Analysis and Safe Trajectory Planning for Intelligent and Connected Vehicles
Zeyu Han, Mengchi Cai, Chaoyi Chen, Qingwen Meng, Guangwei Wang, Ying Liu, Qing Xu, Jianqiang Wang, Keqiang Li

TL;DR
This paper introduces a predictive risk analysis framework for autonomous vehicle trajectory planning that forecasts future environment risks to enhance safety and real-time decision-making.
Contribution
It presents a novel framework combining future trajectory prediction with risk assessment for safer autonomous vehicle navigation.
Findings
Simulation results demonstrate improved safety margins.
Vehicle experiments confirm real-time applicability.
Predictive risk analysis outperforms current methods.
Abstract
The safe trajectory planning of intelligent and connected vehicles is a key component in autonomous driving technology. Modeling the environment risk information by field is a promising and effective approach for safe trajectory planning. However, existing risk assessment theories only analyze the risk by current information, ignoring future prediction. This paper proposes a predictive risk analysis and safe trajectory planning framework for intelligent and connected vehicles. This framework first predicts future trajectories of objects by a local risk-aware algorithm, following with a spatiotemporal-discretised predictive risk analysis using the prediction results. Then the safe trajectory is generated based on the predictive risk analysis. Finally, simulation and vehicle experiments confirm the efficacy and real-time practicability of our approach.
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