Counterfactual Influence as a Distributional Quantity
Matthieu Meeus, Igor Shilov, Georgios Kaissis, Yves-Alexandre de Montjoye

TL;DR
This paper investigates how memorization in machine learning models is influenced by the entire training data distribution, revealing that focusing solely on self-influence underestimates risks and that influence distributions better capture complex memorization behaviors.
Contribution
It introduces a distributional approach to counterfactual influence, analyzing how all training samples collectively affect memorization, and demonstrates its effectiveness on language and image models.
Findings
Self-influence underestimates memorization risks.
Near-duplicates significantly impact influence distributions.
Full influence distributions reveal complex memorization patterns.
Abstract
Machine learning models are known to memorize samples from their training data, raising concerns around privacy and generalization. Counterfactual self-influence is a popular metric to study memorization, quantifying how the model's prediction for a sample changes depending on the sample's inclusion in the training dataset. However, recent work has shown memorization to be affected by factors beyond self-influence, with other training samples, in particular (near-)duplicates, having a large impact. We here study memorization treating counterfactual influence as a distributional quantity, taking into account how all training samples influence how a sample is memorized. For a small language model, we compute the full influence distribution of training samples on each other and analyze its properties. We find that solely looking at self-influence can severely underestimate tangible risks…
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Taxonomy
TopicsForecasting Techniques and Applications
