Systematic non-thermal velocity increase preceding soft X-ray flare onset: A large-scale Hinode/EIS study

TL;DR

This large-scale Hinode/EIS study reveals that non-thermal velocities at flare footpoints systematically increase 4-25 minutes before soft X-ray flare onset, serving as a common precursor indicator across various flare magnitudes.

Contribution

It provides the first comprehensive statistical analysis of pre-flare non-thermal velocity evolution across a large flare catalog, highlighting its potential as a predictive precursor.

Findings

Non-thermal velocities increase before flare onset in C and M-class flares.

Pre-flare velocity onset timing varies with flare magnitude and temperature.

CME-associated flares show earlier and more uniform pre-flare velocity increases.

Abstract

Non-thermal velocities, derived from spectral line broadening, can provide crucial insights into plasma dynamics before and during solar flares. To systematically study the pre-flare phase, we constructed a Hinode/Extreme-ultraviolet Imaging Spectrometer (EIS) flare catalog of 1,449 flares from 2011--2024. This enabled a large-scale analysis of flare loop footpoint non-thermal velocity evolution across different flare magnitudes (C, M, X-classes). Analyzing Fe VIII--Fe XXIV emission lines formed at $\log(T/K) \sim 5.7-7.3$ with piecewise linear fits in the pre-flare period, we find that non-thermal velocities consistently increase 4--25 minutes before GOES soft X-ray start in C and M-class flares. Onset timing patterns vary with flare magnitude: smaller flares show temperature-dependent progression, while larger flares exhibit more compressed, near-simultaneous onsets across temperatures. While our limited X-class sample ($N=18$) also show onset before GOES, larger statistics are needed to confirm its behavior. M-class flares show a systematic precursor non-thermal velocity onset $\sim$30--60 minutes before GOES peak. In a subset of M-class flares (2011--2018), CME-associated events show earlier and more uniform precursor onsets (45--74 minutes before peak) than non-CME events, of which only some lines display a precursor, suggesting a strong link between extended pre-flare non-thermal broadening and successful eruptions. This large scale study establishes pre-flare non-thermal velocity increase at footpoints as a common precursor observable before any X-ray signature.