Effect of Insecurity on Agricultural Output in Benue State, Nigeria

TL;DR

This study investigates how insecurity negatively impacts agricultural output in Benue State, Nigeria, revealing significant decreases in crop and livestock production during insecure periods and suggesting security improvements as solutions.

Contribution

It provides empirical evidence of insecurity's effect on agriculture in Benue State using SEM analysis and offers policy recommendations for security enhancement.

Findings

Insecurity reduces crop output by 0.211% per 1% increase in insecurity.

Insecurity reduces livestock output by 0.311% per 1% increase in insecurity.

Insecurity significantly decreases agricultural productivity in Benue State.

Abstract

This study examined the effect of insecurity on agricultural output in Benue state. A descriptive survey design was employed, and 400 respondents were purposively selected from insecurity-prone local government areas, namely, Guma LGA, Agatu LGA, Gwer LGA, Gwer-West LGA, Katsina-Ala LGA, Logo LGA, Ukum LGA and Kwande LGA. The data were collected through the administration of a questionnaire and were analysed using t tests and structural equation modelling (SEM). The t-test was used to compare farmers' incomes before and after the insecurity in the study area to assess if the differences were statistically significant, while Structural Equation Modelling analysed the complex relationships among multiple variables, employing regression and factor analysis to model both direct and indirect effects. The results revealed that the monetary value of crop and livestock output decreased during periods of insecurity. Furthermore, the study showed that insecurity has an adverse effect on crop and livestock output. This means that a one percent increase in insecurity leads to a 0.211% and 0.311% decrease in crop and livestock output respectively. The study concluded that insecurity reduced agricultural output in Benue state. Based on the findings, it was recommended that the government deploy more security personnel, establish community policing initiatives, and employ modern surveillance technologies to deter criminal activities in insecure areas. Additionally, for places experiencing farmer-herder conflict, the government should provide grazing reserves for herdsmen and further strengthen the state law on open grazing prohibition and the establishment of ranch law.