From Rules to Rewards: Reinforcement Learning for Interest Rate Adjustment in DeFi Lending
Hanxiao Qu, Krzysztof Gogol, Florian Groetschla, Claudio Tessone

TL;DR
This paper introduces the use of Offline Reinforcement Learning, particularly TD3-BC, to optimize interest rate adjustments in DeFi lending, improving adaptability and stability over rule-based models.
Contribution
It applies and evaluates three RL approaches to DeFi interest rate optimization, demonstrating TD3-BC's superior performance and adaptability to market stress events.
Findings
TD3-BC outperforms other RL methods in balancing utilization and risk.
The approach adapts effectively during market stress events.
Reinforcement learning can automate interest rate governance in DeFi.
Abstract
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) lending enables permissionless borrowing via smart contracts. However, it faces challenges in optimizing interest rates, mitigating bad debt, and improving capital efficiency. Rule-based interest-rate models struggle to adapt to dynamic market conditions, leading to inefficiencies. This work applies Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) to optimize interest rate adjustments in DeFi lending protocols. Using historical data from Aave protocol, we evaluate three RL approaches: Conservative Q-Learning (CQL), Behavior Cloning (BC), and TD3 with Behavior Cloning (TD3-BC). TD3-BC demonstrates superior performance in balancing utilization, capital stability, and risk, outperforming existing models. It adapts effectively to historical stress events like the May 2021 crash and the March 2023 USDC depeg, showcasing potential for automated, real-time governance.
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Taxonomy
TopicsCorporate Finance and Governance · Private Equity and Venture Capital · Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
