Revisiting Reweighted Risk for Calibration: AURC, Focal, and Inverse Focal Loss
Han Zhou, Sebastian G.Gruber, Teodora Popordanoska, Matthew B. Blaschko

TL;DR
This paper explores the theoretical connections between reweighted risk functions like focal loss and calibration errors, proposing a flexible, efficient method that improves model calibration across various datasets.
Contribution
It establishes a principled link between calibration error and selective classification, introducing a flexible loss with a bin-based CDF approximation for better calibration.
Findings
Achieves competitive calibration performance on multiple datasets
Provides a flexible loss function with efficient gradient-based optimization
Demonstrates the theoretical connection between calibration error and selective classification
Abstract
Several variants of reweighted risk functionals, such as focal loss, inverse focal loss, and the Area Under the Risk Coverage Curve (AURC), have been proposed for improving model calibration; yet their theoretical connections to calibration errors remain under-explored. In this paper, we revisit a broad class of weighted risk functions and find a principled connection between calibration error and selective classification. We show that minimizing calibration error is closely linked to the selective classification paradigm and demonstrate that optimizing selective risk in low confidence regions naturally improves calibration. Our proposed loss shares a similar reweighting strategy with dual focal loss but offers greater flexibility through the choice of confidence score functions (CSFs). Furthermore, our approach utilizes a bin-based cumulative distribution function (CDF) approximation,…
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Taxonomy
TopicsStatistical Methods and Inference · Adversarial Robustness in Machine Learning · Risk and Portfolio Optimization
MethodsFocal Loss
