ThermoONet -- a deep learning-based small body thermophysical network: applications to modelling water activity of comets

TL;DR

ThermoONet is a neural network that accurately predicts comet temperatures and water sublimation fluxes, drastically reducing computation time and enabling detailed modeling of cometary activity from observational data.

Contribution

We developed ThermoONet, a machine learning model that significantly accelerates thermophysical simulations of comets, enabling high-resolution and repetitive modeling with high accuracy.

Findings

Achieves ~2% error in subsurface temperature predictions.

Reduces computational time by nearly six orders of magnitude.

Successfully models water activity of specific comets using observational data.

Abstract

Cometary activity is a compelling subject of study, with thermophysical models playing a pivotal role in its understanding. However, traditional numerical solutions for small body thermophysical models are computationally intensive, posing challenges for investigations requiring high-resolution or repetitive modeling. To address this limitation, we employed a machine learning approach to develop ThermoONet - a neural network designed to predict the temperature and water ice sublimation flux of comets. Performance evaluations indicate that ThermoONet achieves a low average error in subsurface temperature of approximately 2% relative to the numerical simulation, while reducing computational time by nearly six orders of magnitude. We applied ThermoONet to model the water activity of comets 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko and 21P/Giacobini-Zinner. By successfully fitting the water production rate curves of these comets, as obtained by the Rosetta mission and the SOHO telescope, respectively, we demonstrate the network's effectiveness and efficiency. Furthermore, when combined with a global optimization algorithm, ThermoONet proves capable of retrieving the physical properties of target bodies.