Internal State Estimation in Groups via Active Information Gathering

TL;DR

This paper introduces an active information gathering method for estimating human personality traits in groups, improving scalability and accuracy, with applications in autism diagnosis and human-robot interaction.

Contribution

It combines a personality-conditioned behavior model with an active planning policy and Bayesian inference, enabling real-time, scalable personality estimation in multi-human settings.

Findings

Reduced personality prediction error by 29.2% in simulations

Decreased uncertainty in personality estimates by 79.9%

Successfully distinguished neurotypical and autistic behaviors

Abstract

Accurately estimating human internal states, such as personality traits or behavioral patterns, is critical for enhancing the effectiveness of human-robot interaction, particularly in group settings. These insights are key in applications ranging from social navigation to autism diagnosis. However, prior methods are limited by scalability and passive observation, making real-time estimation in complex, multi-human settings difficult. In this work, we propose a practical method for active human personality estimation in groups, with a focus on applications related to Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD). Our method combines a personality-conditioned behavior model, based on the Eysenck 3-Factor theory, with an active robot information gathering policy that triggers human behaviors through a receding-horizon planner. The robot's belief about human personality is then updated via Bayesian inference. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach through simulations, user studies with typical adults, and preliminary experiments involving participants with ASD. Our results show that our method can scale to tens of humans and reduce personality prediction error by 29.2% and uncertainty by 79.9% in simulation. User studies with typical adults confirm the method's ability to generalize across complex personality distributions. Additionally, we explore its application in autism-related scenarios, demonstrating that the method can identify the difference between neurotypical and autistic behavior, highlighting its potential for diagnosing ASD. The results suggest that our framework could serve as a foundation for future ASD-specific interventions.